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BUSINESS A25
                                                                                                                                                                     Monday 21 September 2015

Of Mutual Interest:

What’s next for bond funds after the Fed’s decision? 

STAN CHOE                       prices. And even though         most optimistic manager                                         demand for existing bonds       largest category of bond
AP Business Writer              the Federal Reserve didn’t      acknowledges: Bond funds                                        falls because their yields      funds focuses on those ma-
NEW YORK (AP) — Relief          raise its benchmark for         won’t do as good a job                                          suddenly look less attrac-      turing in four to 10 years.
washed over the bond            short-term rates this past      as in prior years, because                                      tive. That makes their prices   Several factors are keeping
market this week after the      week, the majority of its       they’re paying much less                                        drop.                           inflation low, including the
                                                                                                                                To see what rising rates can    plummeting price of oil and
In this June, 2015 photo, people walk past the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building                                do to bond mutual funds,        the scarcity of pay raises for
in Washington. Federal Reserve policymakers have slightly lowered their projections for growth                                  look to 2013, when the          many workers. Global eco-
and inflation in the next two years, an outlook that likely factored into their decision to hold off                            yield on the 10-year Trea-      nomic growth is also under
on raising interest rates.                                                                                                      sury nearly doubled in eight    pressure as China’s gains
                                                                                                                                months. The average inter-      slow sharply, while Europe
                                                                                                      (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)  mediate-term bond fund          and Japan struggle to kick
                                                                                                                                lost 1.4 percent.               start theirs.
Federal Reserve decided         policymaking committee          in interest. “I don’t think it’s                                Investors can insulate them-    Add that together with the
to hold off on hiking interest  still expects it to happen      going to be Armageddon”                                         selves by buying individual     slow, steady pace that the
rates. But many investors       later this year.                when the Federal Reserve                                        bonds and holding them          Federal Reserve has prom-
were left to wonder: Was it     Even so, bond funds can still   does hike interest rates,                                       until maturity. That way,       ised for short-term interest
just a temporary reprieve?      be a shock absorber, offer-     says Jim Kochan, chief                                          even if the market price        rates, and fund managers
The stakes are high for bond    ing some stability when the     fixed-income strategist for                                     drops for a bond, they          expect longer-term inter-
mutual funds, which are         stock market goes on an-        Wells Fargo Funds Manage-                                       won’t necessarily feel it. But  est rates to rise modestly
supposed to be the safe         other of its dizzying drops,    ment. “It’s a healthy move                                      they would lose out on the      and gradually. In that sce-
part of our portfolios. Inves-  fund managers say. They’re      away from zero.”                                                extra income that a new,        nario, bond funds could
tors have been fretting for     looking to offer reassurance                                                                    higher-yielding bond would      avoid losses. Their price will
years that interest rates are   following predictions for big   -WHY RISING RATES ARE A                                         have provided. Plus, most       drop as interest rates rise,
set to rise, something that     losses for bonds. There’s just  FEAR                                                            investors prefer a diversified  but the income they pro-
would knock down bond           one caveat that even the        When interest rates rise,                                       fund portfolio of thousands     duce could help offset the
                                                                                                                                of bonds.                       declines. And the income
                                                                                                                                                                could be reinvested in
                                                                                                                                -WHY BOND FUNDS CAN             higher-yielding bonds.
                                                                                                                                AVOID BIG LOSSES
                                                                                                                                The Federal Reserve con-        -WHY EXPECTATIONS HAVE
                                                                                                                                trols interest rates for very   TO BE LOWER THAN BEFORE
                                                                                                                                short-term loans, ones that     Bond funds have histori-
                                                                                                                                banks make to each other        cally helped give a sense
                                                                                                                                overnight. It has less control  of security when the stock
                                                                                                                                over longer-term interest       market plummets. During
                                                                                                                                rates.                          the 2008 financial crisis, the
                                                                                                                                A big factor influencing 10-    largest category of stock
                                                                                                                                year Treasury yields is where   funds lost 37.8 percent,
                                                                                                                                inflation and economic          while many bond funds
                                                                                                                                growth are heading, and         posted gains.
                                                                                                                                neither looks all that strong.  And among funds that lost
                                                                                                                                That should help limit the      money, bond funds gener-
                                                                                                                                rise of longer-term rates,      ally had more modest loss-
                                                                                                                                fund managers say. The          es than stock funds. q

VW chief “sorry” after EPA says firm skirted clean air law 

PAUL WISEMAN                    gation and promised that        half of 2015. But a hit to its                                  Volkswagen marketed the         Jetta two years ago.
TOM KRISHER                     the company would coop-         reputation from the emis-                                       diesel-powered cars, which      “The selling point,” for the
AP Business Writers             erate with regulators.          sions revelations could                                         account for about 25 per-       Diesel Passat was that the
WASHINGTON (AP) — The           The EPA said Friday that VW     hamper its efforts at a sales                                   cent of sales, as being bet-    technology was so good,
CEO of Volkswagen apol-         used software that allowed      rebound in the U.S. Be-                                         ter for the environment. Af-    he said. Now, Shah said he
ogized Sunday and VW            its diesel cars to release      tween 2013 and 2014, VW                                         ter the EPA announcement,       plans to bring the car back
customers said they felt        fewer smog-causing pollut-      brand sales plummeted 10                                        the automaker withdrew          to the local dealer to have
duped after the Environ-        ants during tests than in re-   percent even as overall in-                                     ads for its diesel cars from    it examined and doesn’t
mental Protection Agency        al-world driving conditions.    dustry sales rose 6 percent.                                    youtube.com and asked           want to buy another Volk-
revealed that the German        The cars, built in the last     U.S. buyers want SUVs, and                                      dealers to stop selling 2015    swagen. “Once they cheat
automaker skirted clean air     seven years, include the        Volkswagen doesn’t have                                         diesel cars with 2.0-liter en-  you on this issue, what other
rules by rigging emissions      Audi A3, VW Jetta, Beetle,      competitive vehicles to of-                                     gines, according to a per-      issues can they cheat you
tests for about 500,000 die-    Golf and Passat models.         fer them.                                                       son familiar with the matter    on?” he said. “You don’t
sel cars.                       The agency ordered VW           The influential magazine                                        who requested anonymity.        trust them.”
“I personally am deeply         to fix the cars at its own ex-  Consumer Reports almost                                         Some VW customers were          San Francisco resident Mar-
sorry that we have broken       pense. VW also faces fines      immediately suspended                                           furious.                        sha Riggs, who owns a 2009
the trust of our customers      that could add up to bil-       its “recommended” rating                                        Zeeshan Shah, 39, of Ful-       Jetta SportWagen, said she
and the public,” Volkswa-       lions of dollars.               from the Jetta and Passat                                       ton, Maryland, said that        was shocked. “I bought this
gen chief Martin Winterkorn     VW edged out Toyota to          diesels until it can get a re-                                  he bought a Volkswagen          car because I thought it
said in a statement. He said    become the world’s top-         call repair and re-test the                                     Diesel Passat 2015 model        was clean,” she said. “And
VW has ordered an investi-      selling automaker the first     cars.                                                           in July after he totaled his    it’s not clean.” q
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