Page 7 - Aruba Today
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U.S. NEWS A7
                                                                                                           Tuesday 23 February 2016

US Financial Front:

      IEA: Slashed spending by drillers could lead to price spike

DAVID KOENIG                    that U.S. production, along         Fatih Birol, Executive Director International Energy Agency,                        percent, to $34.69 a bar-
AP Business Writer              with new supplies from Iran,        speaks about the state of the oil industry at the annual IHS CER-                   rel in London. The price
HOUSTON (AP) — Oil prices       which has been freed from           AWeek global energy conference Monday, Feb. 22, 2016, in                            of wholesale gasoline
will more than double by        international sanctions, will       Houston.                                                                            jumped 4 percent.
2020 as current low prices      blunt what otherwise might                                                                                              Oil prices have tumbled 70
lead drillers to cut invest-    be a sharper run-up in pric-                                                                   (AP Photo/Pat Sullivan)  percent since mid-2014,
ment in new production          es.                                                                                                                     and gasoline prices have
and gradually reduce the        Nobody saw the shale-oil                                                                                                followed. The U.S. Energy In-
glut of crude, the head of      boom coming, and it has                                                                                                 formation Agency expects
a group of oil-importing        changed the market, said                                                                                                an average price of $1.98
countries said Monday.          Neil Atkinson, who edited                                                                                               per gallon nationwide this
Fatih Birol, executive direc-   the IEA report released                                                                                                 year. The last time gasoline
tor of the International En-    Monday.                                                                                                                 averaged less than $2 for a
ergy Agency, said oil would     “Producers everywhere                                                                                                   full year was 2004.
rise gradually to about $80     around the world are hav-                                                                                               Low oil prices have had
a barrel.                       ing to accept that $100 a                                                                                               devastating effects on
Oil prices shot to more than    barrel is not something that                                                                                            communities that rely on
$100 a barrel in mid-2014       is likely to return soon,” At-                                                                                          the energy industry. Home
before a long slide sent        kinson said. He and Birol                                                                                               sales have fallen sharply in
them crashing below $30         declined to blame low oil                                                                                               North Dakota and the West
last month.                     prices on OPEC’s decision                                                                                               Texas cities of Midland and
“There was a rise, there will   to keep pumping away to                                                                                                 Odessa, and more recent-
be a fall, and soon there       preserve market share in                                                                                                ly in Houston.q
will be a rise again,” Birol    the face of rising competi-
said on the opening day         tion from the U.S. and else-
of a huge energy-industry       where.
conference that will fea-       Now, IEA says, investment
ture addresses by the oil       in future oil exploration
minister of Saudi Arabia,       and production is declining
the secretary-general of        for a second straight year
OPEC, the president of          — the first back-to-back
Mexico, and  U.S. Energy        downturn in 30 years.  U.S.
Secretary Ernest Moniz.         shale oil production will fall
Birol’s group issued a fresh    in 2016 and 2017 before re-
outlook on energy markets.      covering with higher prices,
It forecast that 4.1 million    the group predicted.
barrels a day will be add-      Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia,
ed to the global oil supply     Russia, Venezuela and Qa-
between 2015 and 2021,          tar have discussed freez-
down sharply from growth        ing production if other oil
of 11 million barrels a day     countries go along with a
between 2009 and 2015.          strategy to boost prices. On
A year ago, the Paris-based     Monday at IHS CERAWeek,
IEA, an organization of 29      an annual energy-industry
major oil-importing nations     conference in Houston,
including the United States,    OPEC Secretary General
had forecast a relatively       Abdalla Salem El-Badri
swift recovery in oil prices,   called a potential freeze
but the decline continued,      “a first step” that, if it sticks,
with the price for a barrel     could be followed by other
of crude hitting levels last    measures, which he did not
seen in 2003.                   specify.
Experts underestimated the      The price of  U.S. crude
ability of shale-oil producers  soared more than 6 per-
in the United States to with-   cent Monday. A barrel of
stand falling prices — for a    benchmark  U.S. oil rose
time — which, combined          $1.84 to $31.48 a barrel
with OPEC refusing to cut       in New York. Brent crude,
production, led to a glut.      the international bench-
The same experts now think      mark, climbed $1.68, or 5.1
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