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TECHNOLOGY



                                   Improve audit




                                   sampling efficiency





                                   with Excel’s




                                   Solver tool








                                   Artificial intelligence capability can significantly
                                   reduce the time and effort auditors devote to

                                   sampling estimation tasks.


                                   By Thomas W. Hall, CPA, Ph.D.; Lucas A. Hoogduin; and
                                   Bethane Jo Pierce, Ph.D.



                                       tratified mean-per-unit   indicate the method used to
                                       sampling is a key tool used   select strata boundaries is the   About the
                                   Sby auditors. The popularity   single most important decision   authors
                                   of this statistical procedure arises   affecting sampling efficiency. In
                                                                                              Thomas W. Hall,
                                   from its unique ability to produce   tests comparing conventional
                                                                                              CPA, Ph.D., is a
                                   trustworthy confidence intervals   stratum boundary selection   professor in the
                                   when examining populations with   methods to a new method based   Department of
                                   low error rates. Other sampling   on artificial intelligence (AI),   Accounting at
                                   techniques such as difference, ratio,   we found that strata boundaries   the University of
                                   and regression estimation yield un-  selected via AI yielded material   Texas, Arlington;
                                   reliable confidence intervals unless   improvements in sampling   Lucas A. Hoogduin
                                   many sample errors are detected.   efficiency. Although results varied   is an audit
                                   Given the low error rates exhibited   with the population examined, on   professional at
                                   by most accounting populations,   average, strata boundaries selected   KPMG Netherlands
                                   stratified mean-per-unit sampling   via the new method yielded a   and is based
                                   is the technique of choice when   40% reduction in the width of   in Amsterdam;
                                   estimating monetary values.   confidence intervals for a given   and Bethane Jo
                                      Our research has identified   sample size. This translates into   Pierce, Ph.D., is an
                                   a new method to select strata   more than a 50% reduction in   associate professor
                                   boundaries that can significantly   sample size while yielding the   in the Department
                                   reduce the time and effort    same confidence intervals as   of Accounting at
                                   auditors devote to sampling   conventional stratum boundary   the University of
                                   estimation tasks. Our findings   selection methods.        Texas, Arlington.
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