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172                                   Don’t Make Me Say I Told You So




               Again, we’re going back to 2009 because these periods of
            dramatic market declines leave investors open to the opinions

            of “doom and gloomers.”


               By October 2009, the market had rebounded sharply from
            the lows of March 2009, and both of these newsletter publishers
            were predicting that stocks had peaked out and were going to

            fall precipitously. Let’s see what might have happened if you

            believed  the opinion of one  of the  newsletter authors  and
            followed his advice.


               ... [Howard  Ruff of Ruff Times]  has  suddenly  become
            aggressively negative:


               “You can now bet against the stock market. I don’t usually make
            ‘short-term’ calls like this, but the stock market has made such

            a big, unsustainable rally, it will cave in big-time. If you carefully
            read the history of the Great Depression of the ‘30s, you will see

            that at least twice during the Depression the stock market had a
            rally equal to the one we just had in the last few months. ...


               Ruff urges that any long positions be hedged with the Rydex
            Inverse S&P Strategy fund.


               Let’s look at how you would have fared had you taken Howard
            Ruff’s advice and invested in the Rydex Inverse S&P Strategy

            Fund. Here is how a $500,000 investment in that fund would






                          Chapter 4: The Most Common Investor Mistakes
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