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          August 31, 2006
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                              Taguchi’s ‘Statistical Engineering’            281
      is 77 %, 7 percent above the overall performance; when it is at H, y is 63 %, 7 percent
      below average. Therefore if one is to maximize y, x 1 should be set at L to extract an
      advantage of 7 percent. A similar reasoning for x 2 and x 3 suggests that they should be
      set at H and L for potential gains of 6 percent and 1 percent, respectively. Thus with
      this experiment, one is able to:
      1. isolate and quantify the effect of each of the parameters material, time and speed on
        bond strength;
      2. rank the relative importance of these parameters (material and time are much more
        critical than speed; there is no need to waste effort or money on speed control
        within the experimental range);
      3. recommend parameter settings to maximize the yield (material L be used, time at
        the high end, and speed at the low end);
      4. predict the result to be expected when the recommendations are adopted: the pre-
        dicted response is 70 %, elevated by 7 percent, 6 percent, and 1 percent through
        ‘optimized’ material, time, and speed settings, respectively, giving a total of 84 %.
        The striking points about this study are as follows:

      1. Instead of the at least tens of experimental values one would normally expect from
        an investigation of three independent variables, only as few as four are needed to
        draw some very useful conclusions, hence the economy of effort is impressive.
      2. Traditional investigations tend to involve a large number of trial conditions, with
        the eventual recommended solution based on the condition associated with the
        best observed result: in the present scheme, Taguchi’s simple routine has revealed
        that a combination (L--H--L) that has never been tried out is actually superior to any
        of the four combinations already experimented with, thus expanding the horizon
        in the search for a better performance from a black box.
      3. The result to be given by the recommended settings can be expected ahead -- in this
        particular case it is 84 %, better than the best performance (82 %) ever actually
        obtained by the investigators. This makes it very convenient for shop-floor person-
        nel to submit their recommendation for approval, since the expected benefit (84 %
        versus 82 %) can immediately be weighed against other practical considerations (for
        example, material L may be more expensive than material H; it may incur supply,
        storage, or environment problems; a lower speed means a longer product cycle
        time, and so on).

        It is little wonder that such a ‘cheap and good’ and, above all, ‘easy to understand’
      routine was able to take America by storm when first marketed. Space does not permit
      a comprehensive critique of the routine here, but another simple example would
      immediately demonstrate why enthusiasm for and confidence in at least this portion
      of Taguchi methods would be rather ill placed.
        Suppose a similar study is conducted with two design parameters x 1 and x 2 . Ex-
      periments A and B shown in Table 18.3 are both straightforward in terms of design
      and analysis. With reference to experiment A, to maximize y, the same routine just
      used will give H and L as the desirable settings for x 1 and x 2 , respectively. In this case
      since the H--L combination has already been tried out as part of the experiment, the
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