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The Phenomenon of Disruption

                  Disruption is a phenomenon of agents embedded in dynamic systems.

                  There are four triggers for disruption:
                        The emergence and diffusion of a new functionality or idea that

                         undermines the business model of the agent including its goals.
                         This could happen in any of the waves of diffusion. All that is
                         necessary is that the affected organization is ‘blind’ to the new

                         functionality; such blindness can result from willful failure to
                         monitor the context outside the ‘usual suspects’, cultural
                         blindness, becoming captive to a legacy installed -base, or simple
                         hubris.


                        The prolonged failure of the organization to make micro-

                         adaptations as competitors co-evolves the context leading to a
                         total loss of fit. This can be the result of sloth, cultural blindness,
                         internal orientation, a focus on exploitation rather than
                         exploration, external demands pushing the business to short-

                         term profit maximization, or simple incompetence in contextual
                         monitoring.


                        An event in the general context, completely outside the enacted
                         context of the organization, that eliminates a key element of its
                         business model. This could range from war to the entry of a new

                         competitor.

                        The simple wearing out of the old organizational purpose. This

                         can easily happen to activist groups that succeed, charities that
                         eliminate the need they serve, or political parties stranded by a
                         shift in public preferences. The response of the organization is
                         most commonly to repurpose themselves, as the agents that

                         compose the organization have a personal interest in its
                         economic survival.



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