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A28    SCIENCE
              Saturday 28 September 2019
            ‘We’re all in big trouble’: Climate panel sees a dire future



            By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                                                  report’s authors said.
            AP Science Writer                                                                                                   The IPCC increased its pro-
            NEW YORK (AP) — Earth is in                                                                                         jected  end-of-century  sea
            more  hot  water  than  ever                                                                                        level  rise  in  the  worst-case
            before, and so are we, an                                                                                           scenario by nearly 4 inches
            expert  United  Nations  cli-                                                                                       (10  centimeters)  from  its
            mate  panel  warned  in  a                                                                                          2013  projections  because
            grim  new  report  Wednes-                                                                                          of  the  increased  recent
            day.                                                                                                                melting  of  ice  sheets  in
            Sea  levels  are  rising  at  an                                                                                    Greenland and Antarctica.
            ever-faster rate as ice and                                                                                         The  new  report  projects
            snow  shrink,  and  oceans                                                                                          that,  under  the  business-
            are  getting  more  acidic                                                                                          as-usual  scenario  for  car-
            and  losing  oxygen,  the  In-                                                                                      bon emissions, seas by the
            tergovernmental  Panel  on                                                                                          end of the century will rise
            Climate  Change  said  in  a                                                                                        between  2  feet  (61  centi-
            report issued as world lead-                                                                                        meters) and 43 inches (110
            ers  met  at  the  United  Na-                                                                                      centimeters),  with  a  most
            tions.                                                                                                              likely  rise  of  33  inches  (84
            It warned that if steps aren’t                                                                                      centimeters).  This  is  slightly
            taken  to  reduce  emissions                                                                                        less  than  the  traditional  1
            and  slow  global  warming,                                                                                         meter  (39  inches)  that  sci-
            seas  will  rise  3  feet  by  the                                                                                  entists often use.
            end  of  the  century,  with   This early Friday, Aug. 16, 2019 file photo shows an aerial view of large Icebergs floating as the sun   And sea level will rise two to
            many  fewer  fish,  less  snow   rises near Kulusuk, Greenland.                                                     three  times  as  much  over
            and ice, stronger and wet-                                                                         Associated Press  the  centuries  to  come  if
            ter  hurricanes  and  other,   ing  the  heat  for  climate   million square miles (2.5 mil-  “Climate  change  is  al-  warming  continues,  so  the
            nastier weather systems.     change  for  decades.  The   lion square kilometers).     ready  irreversible,”  French   world is looking at a “future
            “The  oceans  and  the  icy   consequences  for  nature   —Arctic sea ice in Septem-   climate  scientist  Valérie   that  certainly  looks  com-
            parts  of  the  world  are   and  humanity  are  sweep-   ber,  the  annual  low  point,  Masson-Delmotte, a report   pletely different than what
            in  big  trouble,  and  that   ing  and  severe,”  said  Ko   is down almost 13% per de-  lead author, said at a news   we  currently  have,”  said
            means  we’re  all  in  big   Barrett,  vice  chair  of  the   cade since 1979. This year’s  conference  in  Monaco,   report co-author Hans-Otto
            trouble,  too,”  said  one  of   IPCC  and  a  deputy  assis-  low, reported Monday, tied  where  the  document  was   Portner, a German climate
            the  report’s  lead  authors,   tant  administrator  for  re-  for  the  second-lowest  on  released. “Due to the heat   scientist.
            Michael     Oppenheimer,     search at the U.S. National   record.                     uptake  in  the  ocean,  we   The  Nobel  Prize-winning
            professor  of  geosciences   Oceanic and Atmospheric      —Marine  animals  are  like-  can’t go back.”             IPCC requires that its reports
            and international affairs at   Administration.            ly  to  decrease  15%,  and  But many of the worst-case   be unanimously approved.
            Princeton  University.  “The   The report found:          catches by fisheries in gen-  projections  in  the  report   Because of that, its reports
            changes  are  accelerat-     —  Seas  are  now  rising  at   eral  are  expected  to  de-  can  still  be  avoided,  de-  tend to show less sea level
            ing.”                        one-seventh  of  an  inch    cline  21%  to  24%,  by  the  pending on how the world   rise and smaller harm than
            The dire effects will be felt   (3.66  millimeters)  a  year,   end of century because of  handles  the  emissions  of   other scientific studies, out-
            on  both  land  and  sea,    which  is  2.5  times  faster   climate change.           heat-trapping  gases,  the   side experts said.q
            harming  people,  plants,    than the rate from 1900 to
            animals, food, societies, in-  1990.                        Caltech gets $750M pledge for
            frastructure and the global   — The world’s oceans have
            economy. In fact, the inter-  already lost 1% to 3% of the   sustainability research
            national  team  of  scientists   oxygen  in  their  upper  lev-
            projected  for  the  first  time   els since 1970 and will lose   PASADENA,  Calif.  (AP)  —
            that  some  island  nations   more  as  warming  contin-     The  California  Institute  of
            will probably become unin-   ues.                            Technology said Thursday
            habitable.                   —From  2006  to  2015,  the     it has received a pledge
            The  oceans  absorb  more    ice  melting  from  Green-      of  $750  million  from  phi-
            than  90%  of  the  excess   land,  Antarctica  and  the     lanthropists and entrepre-
            heat from carbon pollution   world’s  mountain  glaciers     neurs Stewart and Lynda
            in the air, as well as much   has accelerated. They are      Resnick  to  support  re-
            of  the  carbon  dioxide  it-  now  losing  720  billion  tons   search  into  environmen-
            self.  Earth’s  snow  and  ice,   (653  billion  metric  tons)  of   tal  sustainability  in  the
            called the cryosphere, are   ice a year.                     face of climate change.
            also being eroded.           —Arctic  June  snow  cover      The  commitment  is  the
            “The  world’s  oceans  and   has  shrunk  more  than  half   largest  ever  for  such  re-
            cryosphere have been tak-    since  1967,  down  nearly  1   search,  the  largest  in  its
                                                                         history  and  the  second-
                                                                         largest  given  to  a  U.S.   This  September,  2019  photo  provided  by  The  Wonderful
                                                                         academic       institution,   Company shows, from left, Lynda Resnick, California Institute
                                                                         Caltech said.             of Technology president Thomas F. Rosenbaum, and Stewart
                                                                         “In  order  to  compre- Resnick in the surface science lab at Caltech’s Joint Center
                                                                         hensively  manage  the  for Artificial Photosynthesis (JCAP) in Pasadena, Calif.
                                                                         climate  crisis,  we  need                                      Associated Press
                                                                         breakthrough     innova-   in  university  research,”  unite to address the most
                                                                         tions,  the  kind  that  will  Stewart  Resnick  said  in  pressing  challenges  fac-
                                                                         only  be  possible  through  a  statement.  “Science  ing  energy,  water,  and
                                                                         significant   investment  and  bold  creativity  must  sustainability.”q
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