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                                                                                                 U.S. NEWS Friday 2 december 2016
            US Financial Front:

                  Americans should feel muted impact from rising oil price


                                                                                                   largest producer after Sau-  because heating-oil inven-
                                                                                                   di Arabia and Russia, which  tories  are  running  above
                                                                                                   would help ensure there is  their  5-year  average  and
                                                                                                   plenty of oil.               grew again last week.
                                                                                                   In  short,  analysts  say,  con-  A small increase in gasoline
                                                                                                   sumers  and  businesses  are  or  even  a  bigger  jump  in
                                                                                                   not  likely  to  see  the  return  heating oil, which is used in
                                                                                                   of  $100-a-barrel  oil  —  and  only 5 percent of American
                                                                                                   the high energy costs that  homes, won’t affect shop-
                                                                                                   came  with  it  —  anytime  pers  if  the  economy  does
                                                                                                   soon.                        well, in the view of Michael
                                                                                                   Still,  there  could  be  some  Niemira, chief economist at
                                                                                                   short-term shocks even be-   The  Retail  Economist  LLC,
                                                                                                   fore  OPEC’s  cuts  take  ef-  which does a weekly retail-
                                                                                                   fect in January.             sales  report  with  Goldman
                                                                                                   “The average Joe filling up  Sachs.
                                                                                                   his  tank  may  notice  in  the  “The  consumer  isn’t  really
                                                                                                   next week or two that gas  focused  on  gasoline  since
                                                                                                   prices move higher by 5 to  prices  remain  low.  A  bet-
                                                                                                   15 cents a gallon just on the  ter  economy,  a  better  la-
                                                                                                   psyche  of  the  deal,”  said  bor market — those matter
                                                                                                   Patrick DeHaan, an analyst  much more,” Niemira said.
            Leon Balagula changes the price for the gasoline at his Sunoco station in the early morning, in Fort   for  GasBuddy,  a  site  used  But if gasoline spikes to $4,
            Lee, N.J. OPEC’s decision on Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2016, to cut production gave an immediate   to  comparison-shop  for  “that could be bad. “
            boost to oil prices, but the impact on consumers is likely to be more modest and gradual.   gasoline.               Crude has traded between
                                                                             (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
                                                                                                   The  U.S.  Energy  Depart-   $40  and  $50  a  barrel  the
            DAVID KOENIG                 for  U.S.  drillers  but  saved   keeps  rising,  some  of  the   ment predicts that heating  last several months. The na-
            AP Business Writer           money for consumers.         slack  from  OPEC  cuts  will   oil costs will rise about one-  tional average for gasoline
            DALLAS (AP) — OPEC’s de-     Even if OPEC members car-    be  picked  up  by  produc-  third  this  winter,  but  that  on Thursday stood at $2.16
            cision  to  cut  production  ry  through  on  their  prom-  ers  in  the  United  States  —   prediction was issued more  a gallon, according to the
            gave  an  immediate  boost  ises,  global  oil  production   good  news  for  drillers  and   than a month ago and was  AAA auto club.
            to oil prices, but the impact  would only fall by about 1   oilfield workers in Texas and   based heavily on forecasts  Before the OPEC meeting,
            on consumers and the U.S.  percent.  There  is  still  more   North  Dakota.  President-  of  much  colder  tempera-  the  U.S.  Energy  Depart-
            economy  is  likely  to  be  supply than demand — the     elect  Donald  Trump  has    tures in the Northeast. If the  ment predicted that crude
            more modest and gradual.     reason oil prices collapsed   vowed  to  increase  drilling   weather  forecast  proves  would  rise  to  $50  or  $51  a
            The cartel agreed Wednes-    beginning in mid-2014.       in the U.S., the world’s third-  wrong,  prices  could  sink  barrel next year.q
            day to cut output by 1.2 mil-  The   agreement      has
            lion barrels a day, reversing  sparked  a  two-day  rally
            a  strategy  that  produced  in  oil  of  about  12  percent
            lower  oil  prices  and  pain  to  above  $50.  If  the  price

            For October:
            US construction spending up 0.5%


            MARTIN CRUTSINGER            jumped  2.8  percent,  the
            AP Economics Writer          biggest  increase  since  last
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  U.S.  December, as federal and
            builders  boosted  spending  state  and  local  spending
            on construction projects by  all rose.
            a modest amount in Octo-     Financial markets have ral-
            ber,  helped  by  big  gains  lied  since  the  election  of
            in spending on home con-     Donald  Trump,  reflecting
            struction  and  the  biggest  in part enthusiasm over his
            increase  in  government  vows to increase spending
            projects in 10 months.       on  projects  to  repair  and
            Construction spending rose  replace  the  country’s  ag-
            0.5 percent in October fol-  ing infrastructure.
            lowing  no  change  in  Sep-  Despite  the  advance  in
            tember,  the  Commerce  government             projects,
            Department        reported  spending in the category is
            Thursday.                    still down 0.6 percent from
            Home     construction   in-  a year ago. Public projects
            creased 1.6 percent, help-   have  been  squeezed  for
            ing  offset  a  2.1  percent  a number of years as gov-
            drop  in  spending  on  non-  ernments at all levels have
            residential projects. Outlays  struggled  to  deal  with  fall-
            for  construction  of  offices,  ing  revenues  following  the
            hotels  and  shopping  cen-  2007-2009  recession,  the
            ters all declined. Spending  worst  downturn  in  seven
            on  government  projects  decades.q
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