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                                                                                         WORLD NEWS Thursday 4 July 2019


















            UK recession fears mount amid Brexit and global slowdown



            By PAN PYLAS                                                                                                        where  they  will  have  con-
            Associated Press                                                                                                    tinued  frictionless  access
            LONDON  (AP)  —  Britain’s                                                                                          to  the  European  single
            economy  showed  alarm-                                                                                             market.  Bank  of  England
            ing  signs  of  a  sharp  slow-                                                                                     Governor Mark Carney sig-
            down,  possibly  even  into                                                                                         naled in a speech on Tues-
            recession,  as  uncertain-                                                                                          day that the British econo-
            ty  over  Brexit  combines                                                                                          my is slowing by more than
            with  a  less  benign  global                                                                                       predicted.  He  said  it  looks
            backdrop,  according  to  a                                                                                         like “the negative spillovers
            closely  watched  survey  of                                                                                        to  the  U.K.  from  a  weaker
            business activity in the U.K.                                                                                       world  economy  are  in-
            released Wednesday.                                                                                                 creasing and the drag from
            The  survey,  from  financial                                                                                       Brexit  uncertainties  on  un-
            information  firm  IHS  Markit                                                                                      derlying growth here could
            and the Chartered Institute                                                                                         be intensifying.”
            of  Procurement  &  Supply,                                                                                         That  was  before  Wednes-
            showed that the economy                                                                                             day’s report from IHS Markit
            contracted  in  June  at  its                                                                                       and CIPS, which also listed
            steepest rate since the im-                                                                                         a catalog of woes afflicting
            mediate  aftermath  of  the                                                                                         the  British  economy  from
            country’s  vote  three  years                                                                                       the  sharpest  drop  in  fac-
            ago to leave the European                                                                                           tory output since Oct. 2012
            Union.                       In this May 2, 2019, file photo Mark Carney the Governor of the Bank of England speaks during an   and  the  steepest  decline
            The  survey  also  found  the   Inflation Report Press Conference at the Bank of England in the City of London.     in  construction  since  April
            second-steepest fall in out-                                                                       Associated Press  2009.q
            put since the height of the  trade  tensions  between
            global financial crisis a de-  the United States and Chi-
            cade ago.                    na.  However,  it  has  to  do
            The  survey’s  main  “all-sec-  that at a time when no one
            tor”  purchasing  manag-     has an idea how Brexit will
            ers’  index  fell  in  June  to  pan  out  in  the  weeks  and
            49.2 from 50.7 the previous  months ahead.
            month,  suggesting  that  a  Brexit  has  been  delayed
            contraction  is  underway.  to  Oct.  31  after  the  British
            Though some of the retreat  Parliament’s failure to back
            was clearly due to firms ad-  the  deal  that  Prime  Min-
            justing their stock levels af-  ister  Theresa  May  agreed
            ter boosting them to record  with  the  EU.  Jeremy  Hunt
            levels ahead of the original  and  Boris  Johnson,  who
            Brexit date of March 29, the  are  fighting  it  out  to  re-
            survey  does  clearly  high-  place May as leader of the
            light the scale of the pessi-  Conservative  Party  and  to
            mism among firms.            become  the  next  prime
            “The overall degree of busi-  minister,  have  indicated
            ness  sentiment  about  the  that  they’d  be  prepared
            year  ahead  remains  wor-   to back a “no-deal” Brexit
            ryingly  subdued,  charac-   on  that  date  if  no  revised
            terized by uncertainty over  agreement  with  the  EU  is
            the  potential  disruption  of  struck.
            Brexit,  signs  of  weakening  Most economists think such
            sales  growth  and  a  lower-  an outcome will lead to a
            ing  of  economic  growth  deep  recession  in  Britain
            projections,”   said   Chris  as  tariffs  and  other  restric-
            Williamson,  chief  business  tions to trade are imposed.
            economist for IHS Markit.    With  so  much  uncertainty
            Like  all  economies  around  around,  businesses  remain
            the  world,  Britain  has  had  reluctant  to  invest  in  the
            to  confront  the  slowdown  future and many are warn-
            in  the  global  economy  ing they may up sticks and
            largely  due  to  mounting  move  to  the  continent
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