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A10   WORLD NEWS
                 Friday 14 September 2018
            ECB's Draghi: Trade war chief worry for global economy




            By DAVID McHUGH                                                                                                     ism."  U.S.  President  Donald
            Associated Press                                                                                                    Trump  has  imposed  tariffs
            FRANKFURT,  Germany  (AP)                                                                                           on aluminum and steel im-
            —  The  European  Central                                                                                           ports and on some Chinese
            Bank pushed forward Thurs-                                                                                          goods,  raising  concerns
            day with its plan to gradu-                                                                                         about a cycle of retaliation
            ally phase out its monetary                                                                                         that  could  hinder  global
            stimulus,  saying  it  is  confi-                                                                                   trade.
            dent in the region's growth.                                                                                        The  ECB,  like  other  major
            But  its  president,  Mario                                                                                         central  banks,  is  removing
            Draghi,  warned  that  the                                                                                          extraordinary  support  for
            United States' trade dispute                                                                                        the economy left over from
            with  several  major  powers                                                                                        the  Great  Recession  and
            has  become  a  key  eco-                                                                                           the eurozone debt crisis of
            nomic concern.                                                                                                      2010-2012 that saw several
            The chief monetary author-                                                                                          indebted  member  coun-
            ity for the 19 countries that                                                                                       tries bailed out by the other
            use  the  euro  confirmed                                                                                           members.
            Thursday that its bond-buy-                                                                                         The  stimulus  withdrawal  is
            ing  stimulus  would  be  cut                                                                                       accompanied  by  a  ca-
            to 15 billion euros ($17.4 bil-                                                                                     veat  that  the  bank  could
            lion) a month from 30 billion                                                                                       change  plans  in  case  of
            euros after September.                                                                                              an  unexpected  downturn.
            The  decision  was  wide-    The President of European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, speaks during a news conference after a   That  seems  unlikely  at  the
            ly  expected  after  being   meeting of the ECB governing council in Frankfurt, Germany, Thursday, Sept.13, 2018.   moment,  though  analysts
            mapped  out  in  detail  at                                                                        Associated Press  say a weakening of growth
                                                                                                                                could delay the first interest
                                                                                                   the  bank's  June  14  meet-  rate rise, which the ECB cur-
                                                                                                   ing. The ECB set out its plans  rently expects to come no
                                                                                                   to  halt  the  stimulus  in  De-  earlier  than  in  the  second
                                                                                                   cember and postpone any  half of 2019.
                                                                                                   interest  rate  increase  until  The eurozone grew 0.3 per-
                                                                                                   well after that. Analysts do  cent in the second quarter
                                                                                                   not expect a rate hike until  over  the  quarter  before,
                                                                                                   the second half of 2019 at  and  the  European  Com-
                                                                                                   the earliest.                mission  forecasts  2.3  per-
                                                                                                   Draghi said at a post-deci-  cent  growth  for  the  full
                                                                                                   sion news conference that  year.  Unemployment  has
                                                                                                   the  eurozone  was  seeing  fallen  to  8.2  percent  from
                                                                                                   "an on-going, broad-based  over 12 percent in 2013 as
                                                                                                   expansion." Trouble in mar-  the  eurozone  continues  to
                                                                                                   kets  in  emerging  markets  heal from the Great Reces-
                                                                                                   like  Argentina  and  Turkey  sion and the debt crisis. The
                                                                                                   "so  far  does  not  show  any  recovery  remains  uneven,
                                                                                                   sign of spillover," he said.  however,  with  unemploy-
                                                                                                   Asked about concerns that  ment  at  19.5  percent  in
                                                                                                   Italy's  new  populist  gov-  Greece  and  15.1  percent
                                                                                                   ernment  will  break  with  in Spain.
                                                                                                   Europe's  rules  on  public  The  ECB's  stimulus  exit  is
                                                                                                   spending  and  rekindle  a  part of a global trend: the
                                                                                                   debt  crisis  in  the  region,  withdrawal of stimulus from
                                                                                                   he  said  that  top  officials  the rich world's major mon-
                                                                                                   had given assurances they  etary  authorities,  including
                                                                                                   would  respect  the  rules,  the  U.S.  Federal  Reserve,
                                                                                                   but  that  there  had  also  the  Bank  of  England  and
                                                                                                   been    conflicting   state-  the  Bank  of  Japan.  They
                                                                                                   ments and that the actual  loosened  monetary  policy
                                                                                                   budget decisions would be  —  lowering  interest  rates
                                                                                                   what  counts.  "Words  have  and  pumping  new  money
                                                                                                   changed  many  times,"  he  into  the  financial  system—
                                                                                                   said.  "We  are  waiting  for  to  support  the  economy
                                                                                                   facts."                      after  the  global  financial
                                                                                                   For now, the questions over  crisis  that  deepened  10
                                                                                                   Italy do not seem to be af-  years  ago  with  the  bank-
                                                                                                   fecting  other  countries,  ruptcy  of  U.S.  investment
                                                                                                   Draghi  noted.  "So  far,  it's  bank  Lehman  Brothers.  A
                                                                                                   pretty much an Italian epi-  crisis  over  debt  in  Greece,
                                                                                                   sode."                       Ireland,  Portugal,  Spain,
                                                                                                   The key threat to the global  Cyprus  and  Italy  further
                                                                                                   economy right now, Draghi  held back the 19 countries
                                                                                                   said,  is  "uncertainties  re-  that  use  the  euro  as  their
                                                                                                   lated  to  rising  protection-  currency.q
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