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A10   WORLD NEWS
                Thursday 7 February 2019


            Cornered in Syria, IS lays groundwork for a new insurgency




             By SARAH EL DEEB                                                                                                   in 2011. Three years later, IS
             Associated Press                                                                                                   seized vast swaths of north-
             BEIRUT  (AP)  —  The  Islamic                                                                                      ern  and  western  Iraq  in  a
             State gunmen came out of                                                                                           matter of days.
             hiding in the middle of the                                                                                        Syria is less hospitable for IS.
             night and set up a check-                                                                                          The  group’s  brutality  and
             point on a rural road in east-                                                                                     foreign   roots   alienated
             ern Syria. For several hours,                                                                                      many  Syrians,  and  it  faces
             they  stopped  those  pass-                                                                                        competition  from  other
             ing and searched through                                                                                           Sunni insurgent groups, like
             their  mobile  phones  to                                                                                          the  al-Qaida-linked  Hayat
             check  their  allegiances,                                                                                         Tahrir  al-Sham.  But  unlike
             until  they  vanished  again                                                                                       Iraq, Syria has large, ungov-
             into the desert.                                                                                                   erned areas opened up by
             One  young  man,  an  edu-                                                                                         the  civil  war.  “Syria  will  re-
             cation worker, got through                                                                                         main in part a place where
             the  checkpoint  safely.  But                                                                                      (IS) could retreat and hide
             when he got to his destina-                                                                                        because there is still space
             tion in the next village, the                                                                                      in Syria,” Hassan said.
             threat was waiting for him.                                                                                        The extremists have a long
             An IS loyalist told him: Don’t                                                                                     history  of  exploiting  secu-
             remove  pro-IS  graffiti  from   This frame grab from video posted online Jan. 18, 2019, by supporters of the Islamic State group,   rity vacuums, and may find
             school walls or you will pay   purports to show a gun-mounted IS vehicle firing at members of the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic   another one in the coming
             the price.                  Forces, in the eastern Syrian province of Deir el-Zour, Syria.                         months as U.S. troops leave
             The incident, one of many                                                                         Associated Press  Syria. Turkey views the Kurd-
             similar ones in past weeks,  lay  the  groundwork  for   in Syria within six months to  where  the  militants  were  ish forces in the SDF as an
             sent  a  bigger  message  —  an  insurgency  that  could   a  year  if  the  military  and  defeated  months  or  even  extension of the insurgency
             the  Islamic  State  group  gain strength as U.S. forces   counterterrorism   pressure  years  ago.  An  IS  bombing  it  is  battling  at  home,  and
             may have lost almost all its  withdraw.  President  Don-  on it is eased. Gen. Joseph  attack last month killed four  has vowed to launch a mili-
             territory, but it hasn’t left.  ald  Trump  has  vowed  to   Votel,  the  commander  of  U.S.  soldiers  and  contrac-  tary offensive against them.
             The  group’s  once-sprawl-  withdraw  American  forces   U.S.  forces  in  the  Middle  tors in Manbij — a town in  President  Bashar  Assad,
             ing caliphate has been re-  from  Syria,  saying  the  mili-  East,  told  a  Senate  com-  northern Syria that was lib-  who also has forces in the
             duced  to  a  remote  scrap  tants are all but defeated.   mittee  Tuesday  that  bat-  erated in 2016.            area,  has  vowed  to  bring
             of  land  in  Syria’s  eastern  “As we work with our allies   tlefield  gains  can  only  be  In  other  areas,  the  group  all  of  Syria’s  territory  back
             desert,  where  a  few  hun-  to  destroy  the  remnants   secured by “maintaining a  has  adopted  tactics  that  under state control. An out-
             dred      battle-hardened  of ISIS, it is time to give our   vigilant  offensive,”  saying  are  less  lethal  but  just  as  break of fighting would sap
             fighters are making a final  brave  warriors  in  Syria  a   IS still has “leaders, fighters,  chilling. Fliers appeared in a  forces  from  the  struggle
             stand  against  U.S.-backed  warm  welcome  home,”       facilitators,  resources  and  village in Syria’s oil-rich Deir  against  IS  and  generate
             forces.                     he  said  in  his  State  of  the   the  profane  ideology  that  el-Zour  province  last  sum-  the kind of chaos in which
             But  in  liberated  areas  Union address Tuesday, re-    fuels their efforts.”        mer, warning residents that  the group thrives.
             across  Syria  and  Iraq,  ferring to the group by an-   He  estimated  there  are  IS still controlled nearby oil  “Imagine   what   (could)
             sleeper  cells  are  carrying  other acronym.            between  1,000  and  1,500  fields  and  that  “anyone  happen if one third of Syria
             out  assassinations,  setting  But  his  own  Defense  De-  IS fighters in the small area  found to steal from them...  changes  hands  from  one
             up  flying  checkpoints  and  partment has warned that   they  still  control,  but  said  should  only  blame  them-  security  apparatus  to  an-
             distributing  fliers  as  they  IS could stage a comeback   others  have  “dispersed”  selves.” Other fliers sparked  other,” Hassan said.
                                                                      and “gone to ground.”        a  mass  desertion  by  local  The  experience  of  the  ed-
                                                                      Activists who closely follow  volunteers for the SDF.     ucation  worker  who  was
            Ukraine’s exiled ex-                                      the conflict in Syria already  “It was unclear what would  warned  not  to  remove
                                                                      point to signs of a growing  happen to (IS) in the future,  graffiti  was  documented
            president warns of                                        insurgency.                  but  I  think  the  U.S.  with-  by  Omar  Abou  Layla,  a
                                                                      Rami  Abdurrahman,  the  drawal  in  Syria  increased  Europe-based  activist  who
            possible vote rigging                                     head  of  Britain-based  Syr-  the chances for an IS resur-  runs  DeirEzzor24,  a  media
                                                                      ian Observatory for Human  gence  by  manifold,”  said  collective that reports from
                                                                      Rights, says IS still has 4,000  Hassan  Hassan,  an  expert  eastern Syria.
            Associated Press             send  troops  to  Ukraine  as   to 5,000 fighters, many likely  on IS who is originally from  He says IS loyalists have in-
            MOSCOW (AP) — Ukraine’s  a  justification  for  annexing   hiding  out  in  desert  caves  eastern Syria and is now a  filtrated the Kurdish-run ad-
            exiled  former  president,  the Crimean peninsula.        and mountains.               senior  fellow  at  the  Wash-  ministration, exploiting both
            who  was  found  guilty  of  Yanukovych  spoke  to  the   The  Observatory  said  the  ington-based Tahrir Institute  local  Arab  resentment  at
            fueling a deadly separatist  press  Wednesday  in  Mos-   militants  have  assassinat-  for Middle East Policy.     Kurdish rule and the Kurds’
            conflict in the east, is warn-  cow, breaking more than a   ed  more  than  180  people  IS could also stage a resur-  eagerness  to  recruit  Arab
            ing of possible vote rigging  year of silence.            since   August,   including  gence in neighboring Iraq,  allies.  He  says  his  group
            in  the  country’s  upcoming  He would not endorse any    commanders  in  the  Syrian  where  the  group  originat-  has  documented  nearly
            presidential election.       of  the  over  30  Ukrainian   Democratic Forces, a U.S.-  ed and where it has oper-   20 cases in which former IS
            Ukrainians  will  vote  March  presidential   candidates   backed and Kurdish-led mi-  ated in various forms going  civil servants have returned
            31 to elect a new president.  but accused President Pet-  litia that drove the militants  back  to  the  2003  U.S.-led  to  their  jobs.  It  has  also
            Former President Viktor Ya-  ro  Poroshenko  of  plotting   from much of northeastern  invasion.  The  Islamic  State  documented a number of
            nukovych  fled  the  country  vote rigging.               Syria, and nearly 50 civilians  of  Iraq,  a  precursor,  had  recent assassinations by IS,
            in  February  2014  following  A  Kiev  court  last  month   working with them.        been  largely  dismantled  including  the  killing  of  an
            months of anti-government  found Yanukovych guilty of     The  campaign  has  un-      and held no territory when  Arab SDF commander and
            protests.                    treason and of helping Rus-  folded   across   northern  President  Barack  Obama  a man who works in money
            Russia  used  his  appeal  to  sia to annex Crimea.q      and eastern Syria, in areas  withdrew  American  forces  transfers. q
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