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BUSINESS                 Saturday 25 auguSt 2018
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            Utilities pivot from power plants to grid work for profits




            By EMERY P. DALESIO                                                                                                 American  Electric  Power
            Associated Press                                                                                                    plans  to  invest  nearly  $18
            RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — Elec-                                                                                          billion in grid improvements
            tric  utilities  are  pouring  bil-                                                                                 in the next four years, across
            lions of dollars into a race to                                                                                     11  states  from  Virginia  to
            prevent terrorists or enemy                                                                                         Oklahoma.  AEP  said  it  de-
            governments  from  shutting                                                                                         livered  a  total  shareholder
            down  the  power  grid  and                                                                                         return of 21 percent in 2017,
            everything  that  depends                                                                                           and  the  investments  will
            on  electricity  in  America's                                                                                      help  keep  profits  growing
            hyper-connected society.                                                                                            at  5  percent  to  7  percent
            The  U.S.  Department  of                                                                                           year  after  year,  chairman
            Homeland     Security   de-                                                                                         and chief executive officer
            tailed last month how Rus-                                                                                          Nicholas Akins said.
            sian hackers have targeted                                                                                          Charlotte-based  Duke  En-
            the nation's energy grid. Of-                                                                                       ergy plans to invest $25 bil-
            ficials said they could have                                                                                        lion  on  grid  improvements
            caused  major  blackouts,                                                                                           over  the  next  decade
            but  instead,  the  hackers                                                                                         across  its  territories  in  the
            appeared  more  focused                                                                                             Carolinas,  Florida,  Ohio,
            on reconnaissance.                                                                                                  Kentucky and Indiana.
            The  concern  over  cyber-                                                                                          Utilities  won't  say  exactly
            threats  comes  as  power                                                                                           how  they  plan  to  thwart
            companies  shift  focus  to                                                                                         hackers,  but  their  defens-
            pursue extensive upgrades                                                                                           es  partly  include  installing
            in  software,  switches  and                                                                                        more  "smart-grid"  commu-
            wires  to  enable  a  much                                                                                          nication technology across
            more flexible distribution of                                                                                       the  network,  such  as  re-
            electricity.                                                                                                        mote sensors and transmis-
            That  means  the  likelihood                                                                                        sion  equipment  that  can
            of  rate  increases  for  con-  In this photo taken Tuesday, Aug. 14, 2018 power transmission lines deliver electricity along the   better  detect  suspicious
            sumers.  Utilities  have  long   Interstates 40 and I-85 corridor in Orange County near Hillsborough, N.C.          activity  and  automatically
            based  their  business  on                                                                         Associated Press  reroute power around out-
            building  power  plants  and                                                                                        ages, Duke Energy said.
            selling the juice to custom-  trol and convenience, and  age  transmission  equip-     More  than  three  dozen  Duke  Energy  already  is
            ers,  adding  a  regulator-  cyber  and  physical  secu-  ment.  Now  it  has  to  be  regulated electric  compa-   collecting  grid  modern-
            approved  profit  margin  to  rity  enhancements  while  updated  to  accommo-         nies  last  year  devoted  al-  ization  charges  in  Florida,
            pay for it all. But the need  creating thousands of jobs  date  renewable  energy  most  half  their  more  than  Ohio  and  Indiana.  But
            for big generation projects  and  supporting  the  state's  that can surge and flow in  $120  billion  in  total  capital  North  Carolina  regulators
            has fallen after decades of  economy,"  Duke  Energy  many directions, be stored  spending  to  grid  improve-      this year wouldn't approve
            energy conservation, fewer  CEO  Lynn  Good  told  Wall  in  massive  batteries  and  ments,  according  to  the  the company's proposal to
            factories and the swapping  Street  analysts  this  month.  even  move  in  reverse  as  Edison Electric Institute, the  start charging the average
            of  coal-fired  power  plants  Her  spokesman  declined  solar-equipped homes and  trade association for inves-     household  an  extra  $3,000
            for  cheaper  and  cleaner-  an interview request.        businesses  sell  their  excess  tor-owned  utilities.  Spend-  to $4,000 over the coming
            burning natural gas.         The  message  that  big  power.                           ing  on  new  power  plants  decade to bury power lines
            So    electricity   compa-   spending is needed is am-    Key  pieces  of  equipment,  fell to less than a third of the  and  modernize  electricity
            nies  are  telling  Wall  Street  plified  by  U.S.  government  such  as  transformers  and  total, the trade group said,  delivery systems.
            they're  shifting  their  busi-  warnings  of  dire  conse-  transmission  wires,  are  25  as  electricity  demand  de-  Good  has  told  analysts
            ness  plans.  Now  they're  quences if the grid isn't re-  years  or  older.  And  hack-  creased  to  its  lowest  since  Duke  Energy  can  deliver
            having  customers  pay  to  fashioned to make it tough-   ers  aren't  the  only  threat:  Recession-marred 2009.   profit  growth  of  around
            replace  aging  equipment,  er to black out and easier to  The power  supply  must  be  Some  of  the  fastest-grow-  6  percent  a  year  if  state
            block  malicious  hackers,  restore. The Department of  protected  against  physi-     ing  utilities  over  the  past  regulators   approve   the
            minimize  outages,  accom-   Energy's  latest  cybersecu-  cal  attacks,  from  criminals  decade,  including  Ameri-  spending  and  associated
            modate  the  upsurge  of  rity plan, a National Acad-     shooting   out   transform-  can  Electric  Power,  Cali-  profit  margins  the  com-
            wind and solar power and  emy of Sciences report last  ers to severe weather and  fornia's Edison International  pany wants on grid invest-
            allow consumers more con-    year and advocacy groups  even solar storms.              and  Florida's  NextEra  En-  ments.  That  compares  to
            trol  over  when  and  how  like Protect Our Power are  "Old  infrastructure  needs  ergy,  are  the  same  ones  an  average  annual  return
            much power they use.         among  the  voices  calling  to  be  replaced.  It's  that  that  led  the  way  into  grid  of 8.3 percent over the past
            The  investment  research  for  sustained  federal  sup-  simple.  And  that's  terrific  upgrades, said Eric Selmon  decade for companies on
            firm  SSR  projects  that  in-  port for grid improvements.  for  the  industry,  because  of SSR. Profits over the next  the  S&P  500  Index.  Includ-
            creased  investment  in  the  Congress  created  grants  companies do earn a very  decade  will  hinge  on  in-     ing  stockholder  dividends,
            distribution  grid  will  be  the  for "smart grid" investments  competitive  rate  of  return  creased  investment  in  up-  Duke Energy's return should
            primary  source  of  growth  a  decade  ago,  but  hasn't  on new investment and so  dating  and  modernizing  be more like a steady 8-10
            for  most  utilities  over  the  appropriated   funds   for  there's  a  reason  to  invest,"  the distribution grid, Selmon  percent  a  year,  the  com-
            next five to 10 years. Those  them since the 2009 stimu-  said  Ronald  Silvestri,  man-  said.                     pany is telling investors.
            investments mean a stream  lus package.                   aging  director  of  global  "We're  at  the  early  stages  "I  see  over  the  next  de-
            of new revenue that could  "The  grid"  was  essentially  equity  research  at  invest-  of  infrastructure  modern-  cade  more  investment  in
            last decades.                built  to  carry  electricity  in  ment  management  firm  ization.  It's  a  multi-decade  the  grid,  relatively,  than
            "This  infrastructure  will  pro-  one  direction,  from  power  Neuberger  Berman.  "This  theme that I believe is be-  any  other  part  of  the  sup-
            vide  significant  benefits  to  plants  to  homes  and  busi-  gives the sector a very long  ing  vastly  underappreci-  ply  chain  of  electricity,"
            our  customers,  including  nesses  over  a  network  of  tail of attractive growth for  ated," Silvestri said.     Good said in June at a talk
            improved  customer  con-     poles,  wires  and  high-volt-  many years."              Columbus,      Ohio-based  in Washington.q
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