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BUSINESS                 Thursday 25 april 2019
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            Wall Street keeps hitting records. What do investors do now?




            By SARAH SKIDMORE SELL                                                                 ic  indicators,  have  fueled  some  situations  in  which
            Associated Press                                                                       some  optimism  in  stock  you  should  consider  tak-
            The  S&P  500  just  hit  an  all-                                                     markets.                     ing action. If you think you
            time high, recovering from                                                             “The  panic  in  the  fourth  can’t  live  through  another
            last year’s dramatic plunge.                                                           quarter  was  based  most-   low  like  last  year,  the  time
            The economy seems to be                                                                ly  on  fears,”  said  Brent  to get out is now. If the bal-
            on fairly solid footing, still it’s                                                    Schutte,  chief  investment  ance of assets in your port-
            anyone’s guess what hap-                                                               strategist  for  Northwestern  folio is out of whack thanks
            pens next for the stock mar-                                                           Mutual  Wealth  Manage-      to the rise of the stock mar-
            ket.                                                                                   ment  Company.  “The  fun-   ket, make adjustments. And
            So what does this mean for                                                             damentals  have  mostly  if you need your money in
            the average investor? Here                                                             held  up,  while  the  fears  the next five to 10 years, it
            are answers to some ques-                                                              have  gone  away  and  the  shouldn’t be in stocks any-
            tions  about  where  stocks                                                            fears were based mostly on  how.  But  for  most  people,
            stand and what Wall Street                                                             emotion.”                    it’s also a good time to just
            experts think you should do   In this Thursday, April 18, 2019, file photo, Tommy Kalikas, right,   Q.  Should  I  buy?  Should  I  leave things be.
            next:                        works  with  fellow  traders  on  the  floor  of  the  New  York  Stock   sell?        Q. Will the rally last?
            Q. The S&P is at an all-time   Exchange during the Brigham Minerals IPO.               A.  Maybe.  It  depends  on  A.  No  one  knows  for  sure.
            high, should I be euphoric?                                           Associated Press  what  your  long-term  in-  But  David  Bailin,  chief  in-
            A. No. It’s fine to be pleased  Q. So what happened?      raise interest rates.        vestment  plan  is.  The  best  vestment officer at Citi Pri-
            about  hearty  returns  on  A.  It’s  more  about  what  Those     concerns    have  advice  is  usually  the  same  vate Bank, expects the U.S.
            your  investments.  But  it’s  happened  last  year.  The  largely  been  quelled.  The  no matter the day — deter-  market could move up 5%
            not a good idea to tie your  S&P  500  was  at  its  last  re-  U.S.  and  China  are  slowly  mine  your  financial  goals,  to  7%  more  over  the  next
            emotions closely to the ups  cord  high  in  the  fall,  then  moving  toward  a  trade  make a plan to reach them  nine  to  12  months,  provid-
            and  downs  of  the  stock  the  market  sank  in  the  agreement.  The  Federal  and stick to it.                  ed  the  Fed  doesn’t  raise
            market. You’ll get tired fast.  fourth quarter due in large  Reserve  has  indicated  it  “I  would  encourage  (in-  rates  and  earnings  growth
            This market moment comes  part  to  growing  fears  of  a  likely  will  not  raise  rates  at  vestors)  not  to  overreact  exceeds  current  expecta-
            on  the  heels  of  last  year’s  recession,  an  escalating  all  in  2019  after  seven  re-  to highs, just as I would en-  tions. We are in a late cycle
            nosedive.  And  it’s  not  the  trade war between the U.S.  cent  increases.  And  those  courage them not to over-  market, a period when U.S.
            first  or  last  time  the  stock  and  China  and  concern  changes, along with some  react  to  the  lows  of  De-  equities  have  historically
            market will make a dramat-   the  Federal  Reserve  was  strong earnings reports and  cember,” Schutte said.        done very well, but volatil-
            ic move.                     moving too aggressively to  broader  healthy  econom-     All  the  same,  there  are  ity also rises, he said. q

            German business outlook darkens amid trade slowdown



            By DAVID McHUGH                     less satisfied with both the current  German’s  economy  endured  flat  The government on April 17 cut its
            Associated Press                    situation  and  the  outlook  for  the  growth at the end of last year de-  growth forecast for the full year to
            FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — An in-    future.                             spite  low  unemployment  that  has  0.5 percent.
            dex  of  German  business  optimism  The survey was worse than forecast  helped  keep  consumers  spend-    A less pessimistic view was taken by
            fell in April as Europe’s largest econ-  by market analysts, who had pre-  ing.  The  jobless  rate  was  only  3.1  Carsten Brzeski, chief economist at
            omy  struggles  with  a  slowdown  in  dicted a slight increase.        percent in February. The slowdown  ING Germany. He said the picture
            trade and manufacturing even as  “This is consistent with our view that  was  blamed  on  one-time  factors  in industry was not as disastrous as
            it finds support from a strong labor  Germany’s  economy  is  likely  to  such as troubles in the auto indus-  some recent data would indicate.
            market.                             grow  at  a  very  anemic  pace  this  try  over  new  emissions  standards  Recent  zig-zagging  of  indicators
            The  Ifo  institute  said  Wednesday  year, even if there is a slight pickup  and low river levels that disrupted  “should be seen as evidence of a
            its  business  climate  index  slipped  in growth” in the first quarter, said  production.  Slowing  global  trade  bottoming  out  —  confusion  as  a
            to  99.2  points  from  99.7  points  in  Andrew Kenningham, chief Europe  has  held  back  export-oriented  sign of stabilization,” he wrote in an
            March, indicating managers were  economist at Capital Economics.        manufacturing.                      email.q
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