Page 39 - The Insurance Times January 2022
P. 39

€   poor quality/quantity of data – lack of
                 transparency;
             €   state control of large parts of the economy
             €   small or no stock exchange while those that exist
                 are heavily influenced by trading in a few stocks;
             €   limited amount of stock in public hands;
             €   few large conglomerates operate in many sectors
                 – including banking;
             €   limited tax base – tax avoidance common;
         Pull and push factors have combined to increase the level
         of interest in emerging economies as target markets as well
         as production bases.

         Risk types in emerging economies                     g) Technology
         a) Business                                             €   technology in use may be outdated and difficult to
             €   Whole range of issues make emerging economies       maintain
                 more volatile and unpredictable so companies which  h) Outsourcing
                 are not well managed and robust financially will be  €  if contracts have little meaning this may increase
                 vulnerable.                                         risk considerably if service standards are not met;

         b) Credit                                            i)  Fraud
             €   lack of transparency, limited disclosure (accounting  €  Heightened vulnerability particularly where
                 risk)                                               management has limited understanding of local
             €   counterparties unwilling to share information       practices or there is collusion amongst staff;
             €   inter-connected businesses common            j)  Processes and procedures
                                                                 €   Need to be adapted to local conditions including
         c) Credit–sovereign
                                                                     compliance with local regulations
             €   credit risk of the sovereign entity will generally be
                 well known. It may be weak due to dependencies  k) Accounting
                 on external factors such as exports, investment  €  Accounting standards weak, income sources and
                 inflows or poor management of income and            profits often understated
                 expenditure.
                                                              l)  Political
         d) Market                                               €   Power tends to be concentrated and is open to
             €   exchange rates and interests rate liable to move    abuse even in nominally democratic countries
                 significantly and with little warning;
                                                              m) Environmental
             €   two tier exchange rates may operate (official and  €  Lower standards or non-enforcement may reduce
                 black market);                                      environmental risks but this is changing and poor
             €   pegged exchange rates, currency boards or           practices today may store up problems for the
                 crawling peg mechanisms may operate but limited     future
                 resources to defend them leaves them vulnerable
                                                              n) Legal
                 to speculation.
                                                                 €   Problems can arise through a lack of understanding,
         e) Liquidity                                                unclear requirements, lack of enforcement or laws
             €   often high degree of reliance on central bank which  not being in place
                 may have limited resources, particularly in time of
                                                              o) Systematic
                 need.
                                                                 €   Increased interconnectedness with the outside
         f)  Operational Staff                                       world as trade barriers are removed and
             €   quality and quantity of staff will vary enormously  deregulation occurs creating opportunity but make
                 as will work ethic and time keeping                 emerging economies more vulnerable.

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