Page 177 - Climate Change and Food Systems

chapter 5: climate change impact on key crops in africa: using crop models and general equilibrium models to bound the predictions
figure 5
Change (oC) in mean daily maximum temperature for the warmest month, 2000-2050
Source: Authors’ calculations based on Jones, Thornton, and Heinke (2009)
Notes: Model predictions for A1B scenario and 4 AR4 GCMs: CNRM (top left); CSIRO (top right); ECHAM (bottom left; and MIROC (bottom right). A1B = greenhouse gas emissions scenario that assumes fast economic growth, a population that peaks mid-century and the development of new and efficient technologies, along with a balanced use of energy sources; CNRM-CM3 = National Meteorological Research Centre–Climate Model 3; CSIRO = climate model developed
at the Australia Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation;
ECHAM 5 = fifth-generation climate model developed at the Max Planck Institute for
Meteorology (Hamburg); GCM = general circulation model; MIROC = Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, developed by the University of Tokyo Center for Climate System Research. Results for the CNRM (top left), CSIRO (top right), ECHAM (bottom left), and MIROC (bottom right) GCMs
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