Page 103 - Ecuador's Banana Sector under Climate Change

chapter 4: assessment of climate change impact on banana production and suitability in ecuador, and general assessment of global banana trends under climate change scenarios
Figure 28
200 175 150 125 100 75 50
2 5
0 -25 -50 -75 -100-2
200 175 150 125 100 75 50
Historical variability for rainy (January-April) and dry season
(July and August) (in parentheses*, annual precipitation and annual average temperature for each season, respectively)**
- 2 5 -50 -75
5051615 64708
90 8 6
- 2 5 -50 -75 -100
200 175 150 125 100
5 9 8 0 8 1 7 9 9 5 8 2
-1,5
0
-0,5
0
1,5
2
-100-2 -1,5
-1
-0,5 0
1
1,5 2
87 72
65 94384 25 6780
68
7 6
-1
72 52
8 6 5 1 5 57 4 6 3
7 5
6 4 7 8 6 8
59 77
83 57
7150 55 895834
50 25 0
-25 -50 -75
4 51 94
79 8 1
9 6 9 5
AB
75 62 296
8 6 8 1 6595837 06 9 8 8
8 2
9 69 6 8 8
55 58 87
74 67
05694 1 95 83
5 1
68 736197 6078 73
7714 61 705689
9 82
80 5 4599709 87
73
63 5485 8453 91 76
85
6691
0,5 1
50 67
52
80 92 65
0 90 62 86
0,5
64 77
69 93
Temperature anomaly (oC)
Temperature anomaly (oC)
76 53932
98 83
8992 87
200 175 150 125 100 75 50
8
94 6 2 613 85 88
84
57 8 75
58
7567
7 744
98
200 175 150 125 100
6072 9992 75732698
CD
99 73 72
1 25505
9 98
76 06601 05556917783
0
6
7485 559 51
6 3 6 8
6 5 5 2 42 74 4
6 6 9 57 9 85
8 2
59
56 9779791
73707199 6586
71 96 769 81 88
54 7680 58 0 9351 57 64 6692965363890
-100
-2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2
62
Temperature anomaly (oC)
F
Temperature anomaly (oC)
E
200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 -25 -50 -75
Source: Authors’ elaboration, based on CRU data
*: A: Pichilingue rainy season (1 500 mm; 22°C), B: Pichilingue dry season (89 mm; 21°C), C: Pagua rainy season
(550 mm; 23°C), D: Pagua dry season (89 mm; 21°C), E: Esmeraldas rainy season (1 550 mm; 25°C), F: Esmeraldas rainy season (167 mm; 24°C)
76 75 93 89 857 72
78 79 84 68
71
50 6 627634 60 63 9840843
872575532
65582 51 96
73
75 56 77
87
98
75 64 60
55 92 83 50 8818 63
98
82
83
72 57
53 99
0 -25 -50 -75
Temperature anomaly (oC) Temperature anomaly (oC)
6576 5969957861 81 61 549 67670
88
4
54 1
66
74 578
52 82
90
71
678061 58
97
68 77
4 79 91
85
89
52 5930 95 099709294 91
627686 6569
-100-2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 -100-2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2
8
52 69
-2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2
50
96 93
9
Precipitation anomaly (%) Precipitation anomaly (%) Precipitation anomaly (%)
Precipitation anomaly (%) Precipitation anomaly (%) Precipitation anomaly (%)
87