Page 9 - COVID-19 Fact Finding Plandemic 05102020 (Beers)

P. 9

Dean A. Beers, CLI and Karen S. Beers, BSW

Fact Finding Research - Govermedia COVID-19 Plandemic Misinformation
May 10, 2020
Page 9 of 18

emphasized in the report]. This has been despite repeated weekly assurances from
Governor Polis this suppression would end on certain dates, only to be extended; as again
on 05/07/2020.
o In this report, the experts state, "The COVID-19 crisis in Colorado could lead to 941,312
infections by May 7, peak hospitalization of 57,086 on May 14, and 33,277 deaths by June 1 —
depending on collective physical distancing." – yet, there is no research or current data which
supports or predicts this. As of 04/06/2020 there were 5,172 reported cases and 150 deaths.
Even doubling every week (at a time when there is a decline) indicates less than 10,000 deaths.
23
o As of 05/07/2020 the following are reported in Colorado:
▪ 18,371 cases (not 941,312);
▪ 3,557 hospitalized in 59 counties (not 57,086); and
▪ 944 deaths (not 33,277).
o KMGH Channel 2 shared a story citing a report and the decline –
24
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates . “Models can shift, information can be incomplete.
BUT ... if these numbers hold, this could be a VERY good news for Colorado. Have we *already*
seen the peak of COVID-19? These numbers are from the University of Washington.” The report
they cited was first reported at https://q13fox.com/2020/04/06/uw-model-predicts-covid-19-
25
deaths-in-washington-state-will-decline-after-today/
26
• Research from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Colorado
shows on 03/26/2020 the percentage of increased reported infections begin going down
from a peak of 57% overnight on 03/13/2020 to 4% overnight on 04/06/2020. This
percentage is reflected as that of cumulative reported cases. Deaths were reported at a
peak of 100% (from 1 to 2, and 2 to 4) on 03/17/2020 and 03/19/2020, and then fluctuating
to a current 7% cumulative overnight increase on 04/06/2020.
o As of 05/07/2020 these numbers are much more promising, as the increase in cumulative
deaths has been minimal to the reported cases; giving a greater disparity of cases to deaths and
showing this crisis actually is not.
• Research from https://labblog.uofmhealth.org/rounds/how-scientists-quantify-intensity-of-
27
an-outbreak-like-covid-19 reports a number of groups have estimated R0 for this new
coronavirus. The Imperial College group (UK Ferguson) has estimated R0 to be somewhere
between 1.5 and 3.5. Most modeling simulations that project future cases are using R0s in
that range.
• A recently completed study of the Diamond Princess cruise ship – which brought COVID-19
28
to the US – www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32097725 determined R0 research to be R2.28
[on a group primarily of an at-risk age pool, and no suppression until discovered and the ship
quarantined].
29
• Information from www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25186370 for R0 values reported:
median R value for 1918 was 1.80; median R value for 1957 was 1.65; median R value for
1968 was 1.80; median R value for 2009 was 1.46; median R value for seasonal influenza
was 1.28; and novel influenza R values were <1. For related statistics and comparisons, see

23 https://covid19.colorado.gov/covid-19-data on 05/08/2020
24 http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
25 https://q13fox.com/2020/04/06/uw-model-predicts-covid-19-deaths-in-washington-state-will-decline-after-today/
26 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Colorado
27 https://labblog.uofmhealth.org/rounds/how-scientists-quantify-intensity-of-an-outbreak-like-covid-19
28 www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32097725
29 www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25186370

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