Page 23 - Green Builder Nov-Dec 2021 Issue
P. 23

THE STATE OF
                                                                                          SUSTAINABLE

                                                                                        BUILDING 2022



                 Existing Home Sales by region

                                                                       The 10 most-expensive U.S. cities

                                                                              to live in, by real estate


                                              WEST                              Manhattan, NY   ($1,400/square foot)
                                               21%
                                                                                San Francisco, CA   ($1,100/square foot)
                            SOUTH
                            44%
                                                                                Boston, MA     ($760/square foot)
                                                   NORTHEAST
                                                      12%                       Brooklyn, NY   ($720/square foot)

                                                                                Honolulu, HI   ($700/square foot)

                                       MIDWEST                                  San Jose, CA   ($610/square foot)
                                         23%
                                                                                Los Angeles, CA   ($550/square foot)

                                                                                Oakland, CA    ($525/square foot)
                 Southern comfort. If you sold a home last fall, there’s a good
                 chance it was in the southern U.S., where prices were lowest but   Seattle, WA   ($520/square foot)
                 seller equity was among the best in the nation.
                 SOURCE: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS                       Bethesda, MD   ($500/square foot)

                 intelligence service expects moderate growth rates of 1.165 mil-  labor market report by the Home Builders Institute (HBI), the
                 lion starts in 2022 and 1.210 million in 2023.       construction industry needs 740,000 available workers per year
                  Another key indicator, building permits, shows a continued   for the next three years to keep up with demand. That’s about
                 spike from coast to coast over the past two years. According to   61,000 new hires per month from 2022 to 2024, a figure that HBI
                 Omnis Panels’ latest analysis of U.S. Census Bureau and U.S.   President and CEO Ed Brady calls “staggering.”
                 Department of Housing and Urban Development data, the overall   “The construction worker shortage has reached crisis level,”
                 number of residential construction permits issued in 2020 and   Brady says. “The situation will become even more challenging in
                 2021 increased 36 percent nationally. For single family homes,   the coming year when other industries rebound and offer com-
                 the increase was 30 percent; for large buildings containing 5 or   petitive wages and benefits to prospective employees.”
                 more units, the increase was 21 percent.               A big wildcard in terms of how active construction will really be
                  Much of the new residential construction has taken place in   in 2022? Lumber. Prices hit an otherworldly high in the summer
                 the southern U.S. A report by New York City-based Regional Gut-  of 2021 at $1,670 per thousand board feet—and later scaled back
                 ter Repair (RGR) shows that five of the nation’s six most-active   to about $615 in mid-November, according to Trend Economics.
                 metropolitan areas in 2021 were in Florida, North Carolina, and   That total is still a light year above the pre-pandemic five-year
                 South Carolina. The ringleader, North Port/Sarasota/Braden-  average of $356, and it is more than likely where things are going
                 ton, averaged nearly 1,400 new permits per 100,000 residents.   to stay, according to Bryan Shaffer, principal and managing direc-
                 According to RGR specialist Henry Gerbin, this equates to more   tor at Los Angeles-based real estate investment firm George Smith
                 than 1 percent of the market population requiring new construc-  Partners. “I think the $500 to $600 range is going to be more the
                 tion, “a clear indication of a housing boom, and good news for   new normal for at least the next 12 months,” Shaffer reported
                 general contractors.”                                in GlobeSt.com. “Nothing’s normalized yet. And you have the
                  But getting those new homes started is impossible if there’s no   inflation and labor issues cropping into pricing of everything.
                 one to do the work. The lack of skilled labor continues to hinder   It’s very hard to get labor today so it’s made it harder for all the
                 construction growth just as it did pre-pandemic. According to a   producers to get goods out.”


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