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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
                                                                        st
                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

               Appendix 1

               CASE STUDY I
               Predicting Corporate Failure – Cobham plc

               In 2008, speculation from equity analysts in London and New York regarding private equity interest
               prompted Goldman Sachs to publish a Leveraged Buyout Out (“LBO”) model, illustrating how a private
               equity acquisition of Cobham plc could be financed, noting its reliance on debt or “leverage”. This was
               an unusual step from an investment bank: effectively discussing the sale of a public limited company
               in the public domain. This would excite bankers, investors, rivals and Cobham’s directors, since it
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               suggested the feasibility of a takeover. It created an opportunity for event-driven finance
               The  bank’s  publication  followed  seven  small  acquisitions  executed  by  Cobham  in  11  months.
               Consistent with its previous policy, Cobham financed acquisitions using its revolving credit facility (its
               banking line of credit, normally used to counter fluctuations in working capital). This placed added
               pressure  on  the  company’s  ability  to  generate  cash,  particularly  through  its  newly-acquired
               companies,  some  of  whom  were  looking  to  its  new  owner  to  fund  their  own  expansion  plans.
               programme of acquisitions continued, together with a series of divestitures. In January, 2010, the
               appointment from within the Group of a new Chief Executive heralded the beginning of a new phase
               of corporate development.

               Before addressing this phase, it is instructive to reflect on its (then) CEO’s priorities prior to Goldman’s
               paper, reflected in several media interviews in 2007:
                           Cobham CEO says has £600m for acquisitions
                           “I reckon we have about £600 million of internal firepower for acquisitions,"
                           Cobham Chief Executive Allan Cook told journalists on a conference call.
                           "The focus is really on our five technology divisions," Cook said when asked where
                           Cobham might invest, citing defence electronics as one sector of interest.“ (Reuters,
                           LONDON, March 15, 2007)
               Until this point, Cobham was led as a mini-conglomerate. A small central management team focused
               on  buying  and  selling  businesses;  not  necessarily  on  integration  and  growth  through  exploiting
               synergies between them.
                                                       Cobham plc
                        Since the start of 2010, change was a constant, both in the group’s business portfolio …


















               From 2010, the new phase of corporate development shifted the focus to significant investment in
               company-wide change. Its “Excellence in Delivery” programme, announced in 2010, was scheduled to
               last for three years but continued for six. The investment in cash and resource was significant. It
               comprised three major components for implementation across the entire group: “1. New standard
               operating system; 2. Rationalisation and integration of manufacturing facilities; 3. New ERP system”.

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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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