Page 64 - World Airnews February Magazine Edition 2021
P. 64

NEWS



                                   RUNWAY TO RECOVERY



                                                     Future proofing for commercial aviation in 2021

                                          by Graham Grose, vice president and industry director IFS.


                                                                                         Leveraging AI and ML learning
                                                                                       capabilities to model and
                                                            Commercial aviation has    prepare for different scenarios
                                                             faced major challenges in 2020   will be vital to help accurate
                                                             due to the near shut-down of   assessment and timely decision
                                                                                       making, which I discuss at
                                                             international travel in March   greater depth later.
                                                             2020. Commercial operators   The decision will depend
                                                             and MROs have had to park   greatly on how long it takes for
                                                             almost entire fleets of aircraft   international travel to resume,
                                                             and maintain them over a   international travel corridors
                                                             nine-month period to ensure   and the distribution of a vaccine.
                                                             they are flight ready -when the   Flexibility will be essential
                                                             time comes.               for airlines coming out of this.
                                                              But as vaccines are rolled   Demand will be harder to
                                                             out, the future is looking more   predict as attitudes to flying
                                                             hopeful for the industry and   have changed - airlines must be
                                                             controlling the financial impact   prepared to mobilise aircraft
                                                             of the pandemic will be an aim   quickly when restrictions are
                                                             for many commercial carriers   lifted.
                                                             and MROs in the recovery    Tracking and executing on
                                                             phase. Flexibility and future   all the parts and work orders
                                                             proofing will, therefore, be key   associated with an aircraft
                                                             themes for the industry outlook   return to service will be crucial.
                                                             for 2021.                 The key will be flexible software
                                                                                       that can respond quickly to
                                                             IF AND WHEN TO RETURN     changes in demand.
                                                             FLEETS TO SERVICE – AGIL-   As with the process of storing
                                                             ITY AND FLEXIBILITY KEY   and maintaining fleets, the
                                                             Airlines had to park huge   return to service will need
                                                             percentages of their fleets of   meticulous planning - I see the
                                                             aircraft in March and many   success of airlines in 2021 being
                                                             have only returned service to a   closely tied to their ability to
                                                             fraction of their pre-pandemic   handle the return to service.
                                                             capacity since then - in April it
                                                             was reported that almost two   FROM PASSENGERS TO
                                                             thirds of global fleets were   CARGO AND BACK AGAIN?
                                                             parked.                   ‘PREIGHTERS’ ARE HERE
                                                              After aircraft have remained   TO STAY
                                                             dormant for the majority of   Passenger transport was almost
                                                             2020, the next challenge airlines   brought to a standstill in March
                                                             will face is if, and when, they   and many airlines are yet to
                                                             should return the majority of   return to their previous flying
                                                             the fleet to full service again.   capacity as international travel
                                                              Some airlines will be carefully   continues to feel the effects of
                                                             assessing the value in bringing   the pandemic.
                                                             older planes back to service and   But some forward-looking
                                                             many airlines have even made   airlines decided pivot their
                                                             the decision to retire aircraft   focus during the height of the
                                                             early due to the increased   pandemic and make the transi-
                                                             maintenance costs of older   tion from commercial to cargo
                                                             aircraft.                 operations - distributing PPE
                                                              Some aircraft will take over   and other essential equipment
                                                             100 man-hours or 45 days to   across the globe. This has been
                                                             become flight ready once they   known in the industry as the rise
                                                             are brought out of storage, so   of the preighter aircraft.
                                     Photo by Markus Winkler   bringing aircraft back to service   Modifying passenger aircraft
                                                on Unsplash  is not a decision commercial   for light freighting is no easy
                                                             operators will be taking lightly.   undertaking, and again the

                                                 World Airnews |February Extra 2021
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