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figure 37.1


                Economic Growth in the United       Real GDP
                                                    per capita
                States, India, and China over
                                                    (log scale)
                the Past Century                     $100,000
                Real GDP per capita from 1908 to 2008, meas-
                ured in 1990 dollars, is shown for the United             World War II     United States               Section 7 Economic Growth and Productivity
                States, India, and China. Equal percent changes
                in real GDP per capita are drawn the same   10,000
                size. India and China currently have a much
                higher growth rate than the United States. How-
                ever, China has only just attained the standard                                China
                of living achieved in the United States in 1908,
                while India is still poorer than the United States  1,000
                was in 1908.                                                                           India
                Sources: Angus Maddison, Statistics on World Population,
                GDP, and Per Capita GDP, 1–2008AD, http://www.ggdc.net/
                maddison.
                                                           1908  1920  1930  1940  1950  1960  1970  1980  1990  2000  2008


                                                                                                          Year



             person as it did in 1908. Alternatively, in 1908, the U.S. economy produced only 15% as
             much per person as it did in 2008.
               The income of the typical family normally grows more or less in proportion to per
             capita income. For example, a 1% increase in real GDP per capita corresponds, roughly,
             to a 1% increase in the income of the median or typical family—a family at the center of
             the income distribution. In 2008, the median American household had an income of
             about $50,000. Since Table 37.1 tells us that real GDP per capita in 1908 was only 15%
             of its 2008 level, a typical family in 1908 probably had purchasing power only 15% as
             large as the purchasing power of a typical family in 2008. That’s around $8,000 in
             today’s dollars, representing a standard of living that we would now consider severe
             poverty. Today’s typical American family, if transported back to the United States of
             1908, would feel quite a lot of deprivation.
               Yet many people in the world have a standard of living equal to or lower than that of
             the United States a century ago. That’s the message about China and India in Figure 37.1:
             despite dramatic economic growth in China over the last
             three decades and the less dramatic acceleration of economic  table 37.1
             growth in India, China has only just attained the standard
             of living that the United States enjoyed in 1908, while India  U.S. Real GDP per Capita
             is still poorer than the United States was in 1908. And much
             of the world today is poorer than China or India.                     Percentage of         Percentage of
                                                                                   1908 real GDP         2008 real GDP
               You can get a sense of how poor much of the world re-
                                                                   Year             per capita             per capita
             mains by looking at Figure 37.2 on the next page, a map of
                                                                   1908               100%                   15%
             the world in which countries are classified according to
             their 2008 levels of GDP per capita, in U.S. dollars. As you  1928       144                    21
             can see, large parts of the world have very low incomes.  1948           199                    29
             Generally speaking, the countries of Europe and North
                                                                   1968               326                    48
             America, as well as a few in the Pacific, have high incomes.
             The rest of the world, containing most of its population,  1988          493                    72
             is dominated by countries with GDP less than $5,000 per  2008            684                   100
             capita—and often much less. In fact, today more than 50%
                                                                   Source: Angus Maddison, Statistics on World Population, GDP, and Per Capita GDP,
             of the world’s people live in countries with a lower stan-  1–2008AD, http://www.ggdc.net/maddison.
             dard of living than the United States had a century ago.


                                                                 module 37      Long-run Economic Growth        369
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