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ISRAEL INSIGHT


                                                                                        Daniel B. Markind



        natural gas – the other event

           that rocked the middle east






             t the beginning of Janu-       of the Mediterranean that does not     Suddenly, Israel is a regional power in
             ary, earth-shattering events   include Turkey. Indeed, Turkey and     natural gas. This gives Israel substan-
      Aoccurred that completely dis-        Libya entered into a bizarre agreement   tial energy independence, and it pro-
      rupted the Middle East, caused mas-   in December that supposedly gave       vides Arab countries like Egypt and
      sive anger in certain Arab capitals, and   those  two  countries  exclusive  rights   Jordan with a more stable supplier of
      threatened war in the region. In other   to explore a part of the Mediterranean   energy than they had previously. Of
      news, the Americans assassinated Ira-  Sea between their two countries. The   course, Israeli energy exports stand
      nian General Qassem Soleimani.        Turks have gone so far as to chase     traditional Middle East trading rela-
                                            Cypriot vessels away  from exploring   tionships on their head. Also, it gives
      The non-Soleimani news that rocked
      the Middle East involved natural      for natural gas in Cypriot waters. They   the rejectionist front in the Arab
                                            also sent their own ships to explore
      gas. On January 2, Greece, Israel and   in Cypriot waters. If Turkey tries this   world a new and very public target.
      Cyprus signed an agreement to build a                                        Simultaneously, Israeli gas exports
      pipeline to transport natural gas 1,300   against Greece or Israel, things might   place a key choice before the ruling
      miles from Israel’s Leviathan natural   not go so smoothly for the Turks.
      gas field in the Mediterranean Sea first   Meanwhile,  the  first  shipment  of   classes of Jordan and Egypt. They
      to Greece, then to Italy and from Italy   Israeli gas from the Leviathan field   can reject the Israeli gas and main-
      into the heart of Europe. Scheduled   was delivered to Jordan on New Year’s   tain their policy of keeping Israel at
      for completion in 2025, the “EastMed   Day, much to the chagrin of many      arm’s  length  with  a  very  cold  peace,
      pipeline” ultimately might provide    Jordanians. Jordan has been receiving   but if they do so and maintain their
      4% of Europe’s natural gas imports.   Israeli gas from the smaller Tamar     ideological purity, they risk their own
      It also would compete with two pipe-  field since 2017, but the Leviathan    people revolting against the resultant
      lines being built by Russia, the Nord-  gas increases Israeli exports to Jordan   economic deprivation. That is already
      Stream 2 pipeline in the Baltic Sea to   dramatically.  Jordan’s main political   happening in Lebanon, Iraq and Iran.
      Germany and the TurkStream project    opposition, The Islamic Action Front,   Conversely, they can take on their
      from Russia to Turkey and then on     called the delivery of Leviathan gas a   rejectionists and lead the Middle East
      into Europe.                                                                 into a new era.
                                            “black day in the history of Jordan,
      Turkey reacted furiously to the       and a crime against the nation…” A     As much as the impact of the Solei-
      EastMed project. The pipeline involves   memo was filed in Jordan’s parliament   mani assassination, the decisions
      three countries with whom Turkey has   requesting that a law be drafted to ban   involving Israeli natural gas being
      strained relations at best – Greece,   the importing of Israeli gas, but pre-  made now in Egypt and Jordan will set
      a historical enemy; Cyprus, whom      viously the Jordanian constitutional   the tone on the future of the Middle
      Turkey invaded in 1974, carved out a   court ruled that the Israeli-Jordanian   East.
      rump state called Northern Cyprus     gas agreement did not need parlia-
      recognized by nobody but Turkey and   mentary approval.                      A version of this article originally appeared
      still occupies to this day; and Israel                                       in The Times of Israel.
      against whom Islamic fundamentalist   Jordan wasn’t  the  only  country  to
      President  Recep  Tayyip  Erdogan  has   receive Israeli natural gas on New
      systematically destroyed what once    Year’s Day. Egypt did as well. Israel
      were very close relations.            and its US partner Noble Energy
                                            reached a $15 billion agreement in     Daniel B. Markind is an attorney based in
      The Turks have threatened that they   2019 to supply 64 billion cubic meters   Philadelphia specializing in real estate,
      will stop any exploration of that part   of gas to Egypt.                    commercial, energy and aviation law



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