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regarding Iran or the Palestinians and   against religious and Charedi Jews   pool of voting Israeli Arabs. This may
      any coalition government he might   and “disloyal” Israeli Arabs are wear-  deprive Yesh Atid of Knesset seats that
      craft inevitably will be dependent on,   ing thin.                are crucial to blocking a Netanyahu
      and hampered by, Arab parties.                                    coalition. Mansour Abbas’ Islamist
                                       Labor
      National Unity                   Once the ruling party of Israel, Labor   Arab Ra’am was the first-ever Arab
                                                                        party to serve in government (over the
      Benny Gantz promises “clean govern-  has shrunk to a bare minimum of   past year), a fact that some celebrated
      ment”, meaning a government without   Knesset seats and gone through
      Netanyahu, while remaining mum on   more rapid leadership changes than   and others mourned. If Ra’am crosses
                                                                        the threshold, it could join either Net-
      just about every other concrete issue.   any other party in politics. Its current
      The fact that his party has flipped   leader, Merav Michaeli, refused to   anyahu or Lapid in government again.
      wildly in and out of government coali-  merge with the even farther left-wing   Given the repeat near-stalemate that
      tions over the past five years, and that   Meretz party, which puts both at risk   is predicted by many pollsters, Israeli
      each of his previous senior partners   of failing to cross the 3.25% threshold   President Yitzchak Herzog says that
      have abandoned the party (remember   for representation in Knesset.  he will work to establish a national
      his “Blue and White” platform with                                unity government when the voting is
      Bogie Yaalon, Gabi Ashkenazi, and   Meretz                        done, and the polls show that many
      Avi Nissenkorn…?), gives the party a   This equivocally Zionist party served   Israelis prefer this. But Netanyahu’s
      reputational problem. It remains to be   in government this past year for the   ongoing criminal trials pose a problem
      seen whether the move to this party   first time in its history, which actually   for voters on the left and center-left,
      of Likud and Yamina politicians like   angered its far-left electorate. Zehava   and Netanyahu says he will only form
      Gideon Saar, Zeev Elkin, and Matan   Gal-On has returned to party leader-  a “full right” government.
      Kahana, or the addition of former IDF   ship promising to end all state reli-
      chief of staff General Gadi Eisencott,   gious structures if Meretz gets another   In the meantime, there are several
      will improve the party’s fortunes.  cabinet post.                 pressing issues that require the full
      Religious Zionism                United Torah Judaism             attention of a stable Israeli govern-
                                                                        ment, ranging from confronting Iran
      Betzalel Smotrich (National Union)   Once again, Degel HaTorah (“Lith-  and Hezbollah to addressing the spi-
      and Itamar Ben-Gvir (Otzma Yehudit)   uanian” Mitnagdim) and Agudat Yis-  raling cost of living (especially hous-
      are now joined by Avi Maoz (Noam)   rael (Chassidic factions) are running   ing), to halting Palestinian takeover
      in a solidly right-wing and Religious   uncomfortably together on one   of Area C in Judea and Samaria, and
      Zionist coalition. Will their aggregate   Charedi umbrella list. They were   stopping Bedouin sprawl and crime in
      total be greater than the sum of their   brought together by a Netanyahu   the Negev. Pray that Israel is blessed
      parts, and will their gains be sufficient   promise to fully fund all their school   with a stable government for a full
      to help Netanyahu form a government   systems even if they refuse to teach   term, one way or another.
      alongside Charedi parties?       the Ministry of Education’s “core cur-
                                       riculum” (i.e., basic math, science, and
      Bayit Yehudi                     English).                        David M. Weinberg is a senior fellow at The
      After leapfrogging from party to                                  Kohelet Forum and at Israel’s Defense and
      party alongside her political partner   Shas                      Security Forum (Habithonistim). His op-ed
      Naftali Bennett (from Bayit Yehudi/  With Sephardic spiritual icons Rav   articles appear weekly in The Jerusalem
      Jewish Home to New Right, to Yamina,   Ovadia Yosef and Rav Shalom Cohen   Post and Israel Hayom, and can be read at
      to Zionist Spirit), Ayelet Shaked has   both deceased, Aryeh Deri’s Chare-  davidmweinberg.com
      now reverted to Bayit Yehudi (along-  di-national political party is no longer
      side Yossi Brodny and Amitai Porat).   growing but it is holding its own, and
      This is a remnant of the longtime,   certainly will back Netanyahu as first
      mainstream NRP (National Religious   preference for prime minister in the
      Party), holder of the iconic “Bet” elec-  post-election coalition jockeying.
      toral symbol. Shaked now “regrets”   Arab-led parties
      serving in the outgoing Bennett-Lapid
      government and says that Bayit Yehudi   The Joint List coalition splintered last
      would support only a Netanyahu-led   month, with the Balad faction break-
      coalition.                       ing away from Hadash-Ta’al
                                       – throwing the
      Yisrael Beiteinu                 future of all fac-
      Avigdor Liberman’s fortunes seem   tions into doubt,
      to be fading as his old-time Russian   as they will split
      immigrant voter base shrinks, and his   votes from a
      fierce campaigns of the past decade   fairly small


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