Page 76 - Historical Summaries (Persian Gulf) 1907-1953
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                      the Anglo-Russian Convention is likely to
                      oxercisb, sooner or later, upon the question of
                      railway construction in Persia.
                        “ As you are aware, the Convention provides
                      that neither of the Contracting Powers shall,
                      without previous arrangement between them,
                      oppose the grant of Concessions supported by the
                      other within the limits of the neutral zone, whore
                      equality of commercial opportunity is likowise
                      recognized to the subjects of third Powers.
                       “ It may, indeed, safely be surmised thut other
                      Powers will not bo slow to appreciate tho changed
                     situation, and to seek to turn it to advantage.
                       “Although the Russo-Persian Railway Con­
                     vention has still some years to run, the question
                     of future railway construction in Persia, and the
                     pledges made to His Majesty’s Government by
                     the two late Shahs must not be lost sight of, and
                     a timely decision should be taken os to what
                     Concessions it would be most conducive to the
                     interests of British policy to obtain for railway
                     construction in Southern Persia.
                       “ In these circumstances, it seems advisable that
                     His Majesty’s Government should takfc into early
                     consideration the question of a possible attempt
                     to extend the Bagdad Railway into Southern
                     Persia, with a view to determining whether a
                     Concession of this nature to other Powers should
                     be opposed, or whether it should be forestalled
                     by timely action on the part of His Majesty’s
                     Government, who, by securing prior rights of
                     construction, might render an extension of the
                     Bagdad Railway under foreign auspices economi­
                     cally undesirable.
                       “ Sir E. Grey is unwilling that the history of
                     the Bagdad Railway Concession, which at one
                     time could have been secured to British enter­
                     prise, should find a counterpart in Persia.
                     Moreover, the extension of the Bagdad Railway,
                     as a foreign undertaking, in the direction of the
                     Indian frontier, would, on strategic grounds,
                     appear to be inadmissible; the grant of such a
                     Concession would compel the opposition of Ilia
                     Majesty’s Government, and a sharp diplomatic
                     conflict would ensue, whereas by the exercise
                     of foresight such a crisis might be averted
                     altogether.
                       “ Turning now to the question of what specific
                     action His Majesty’s Government should take to
                     tho end in view, it appears to Sir E. Grey that a
                     British Concession for a railway from Bunder
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