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Human interaction caused land cover changes of Chakaria Sundarban mangrove forest in
                                                Bangladesh: a fifty-years study
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                 1 Mehedi Hasan,  Leion Hassan,  Mamun Abdullah Al*,  Mohammad Ziaul Hoque,  Riffat Mahmoood,
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                                       5 Ataher ali,  Nahin Alam,  Abu Hena Mustafa Kamal
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                       1 Department of Oceanography, University of Chittagong, Chittagong 4331, Bangladesh.
                 2 Aquatic Eco-Health Group, Fujian Key Laboratory of Watershed Ecology, Key Laboratory of Urban
                  Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 1799 Jimei
                                                 Road, Xiamen 361021, China.
                                3 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.
                    4 Faculty of Fisheries and Food Science, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Kuala Nerus, 21030
                                                    Terengganu, Malaysia.
                          5 Department of Fisheries, University of Chittagong, Chittagong 4331, Bangladesh.
                 6 Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman
                                       Agricultural University, Gazipur-1706, Bangladesh.
                    7 Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka 1100, Bangladesh.

               * Corresponding author: abdullah@iue.ac.cn

               Abstract:
               Chakaria Sundarbans is one of Bangladesh's oldest and second-largest mangrove forests. Due to tremendous
               human  interference,  this  forest  ecosystems  have  been  vulnerable  in  recent  decades.  In  this  study,  we
               investigate the rate of successive land cover changes of Chakaria Sundarbans, Bangladesh using remote
               sensing approaches. We have collected data from five multi-temporals Landsat satellite imageries for 1972,
               1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020, respectively, to observe the land use land cover (LULC) changes. Using the
               supervised classification technique with the help of support vector machine (SVM) algorithm in ArcGIS,
               our  results  showed  that  the  image  for  1972’s  was  classified  into  three  categories,  namely  mudflat,
               waterbody and mangrove forest. While images of 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020 were classified into four
               groups as waterbody, mangrove forest, saltpan and shrimp farms. Our results showed that 64.2% area was
               covered by mangroves forest in 1972, but it was found 12.7%, 6.4%, 1.9% and 4.6% for 1990, 2000, 2010
               and 2020, respectively. We observed that the net increase of saltpans and shrimp farms was 40.9% and
               41.9% from 1972 to 2020, respectively. The kappa coefficients of classified images were 0.83, 0.87, 0.80,
               0.87 and 0.91 with the overall accuracy of 88.9%, 90%, 85%, 90% and 93.3%, respectively. Furthermore,
               the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI) and transformed
               difference vegetation index (TDVI) showed that green mangrove vegetation has been gradually decreased
               over the time. Our study showed that the relationship between NDVI and SAVI was relatively stronger than
               those of NDVI and TDVI. Therefore, findings of this study highlighted that human activities significantly
               influence mangroves forest alternation and would decrease coastal ecosystem services.

               Keywords: Land use land cover change, Human activities, Mangroves, ArcGIS, Chakaria Sundarbans
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