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Concluding Thoughts







                                                               The third theme highlights the potential value
                              DEVELOPMENT-LED
                                                               of scenarios as one critical element of strategy
                INTERVENTIONS ARE OFTEN NOT                    development. These narratives have served to
                CAREFUL ENOUGH ABOUT WHAT                      kick-start the idea generation process, build the
                     THE TECHNOLOGY NEEDS IN                   future-oriented mindset of participants, and
                  ORDER TO WORK ON A THREE,                    provide a guide for ongoing trend monitoring
                                                               and horizon scanning activities. They also offer
                    FIVE, OR SEVEN YEAR CYCLE.
                                                               a useful framework that can help in tracking and
                       WHAT SCALE IS REQUIRED                  making sense of early indicators and milestones
                        FOR DEPLOYMENT TO BE                   that might signal the way in which the world is
                  SUCCESSFUL? WHAT LEVEL OF                    actually transforming.
                          EDUCATION IS NEEDED                  While these four scenarios vary significantly

                  TO BE SUSTAINABLE IN TERMS                   from one another, one theme is common to them
                     OF MAINTENANCE? HOW DO                    all: new innovations and uses of technology
                  THESE REQUIREMENTS EVOLVE                    will be an active and integral part of the
                                                               international development story going forward.
                                      OVER TIME?
                                                               The changing nature of technologies could
                      – Isha Ray, Professor, University of     shape the characteristics of development and the
                California-Berkeley School of Information,     kinds of development aid that are in demand. In
      Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development  scale, expectations about the provision of
                          Energy, and Resources Group
                                                               a future in which technologies are effectively
                                                               adopted and adapted by poor people on a broad


                                                               services could fundamentally shift. Developing
                                                               a deeper understanding of the ways in which
                                                               technology can impact development will better
                                                               prepare everyone for the future, and help all of
                                                               us drive it in new and positive directions.





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