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Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins
University (JHU)”, 24 June 2020.
[11] Simon, Herbert, “The Architecture of Complexity”,
Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society, vol. 106, no.
6, 1962, pp. 467-482.
[12] Malleret, Thierry, Disequilibrium: A World Out of Kilter,
BookBaby, 2012.
[13] Contrary to white-swan events, which are certain, black-
swan events are very rare, hard to predict (non-probabilistic) and
have outsized consequences. They are called “black swans” in
reference to the fact that such swans were presumed not to exist
until Dutch explorers discovered them in Western Australia at the
end of the 17th century.
[14] Webb, Richard, “Quantum physics”, New Scientist, n.d.,
https://www.newscientist.com/term/quantum-physics/#.
[15] Project Gutenberg, “A Journal of the Plague Year by Daniel
Defoe”, http://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/376.
[16] Jordison, Sam, “Defoe’s Plague Year was written in 1722
but speaks clearly to our time”, The Guardian, 5 May 2020,
https://www.theguardian.com/books/booksblog/2020/may/05/defo
e-a-journal-of-the-plague-year-1722-our-time.
[17] Schama, Simon, “Plague time: Simon Schama on what
history tells us”, Financial Times, 10 April 2020,
https://www.ft.com/content/279dee4a-740b-11ea-95fe-
fcd274e920ca.
[18] Jordà, Òscar, Sanjay R. Singh and Alan M. Taylor, “Longer-
Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics”, Federal Reserve
Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper 2020-09, 2020,
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp2020-09.pdf.
[19] Bloomberg, “Coronavirus Is Likely to Become a Seasonal
Infection Like the Flu, Top Chinese Scientists Warn”, Time, 28
April 2020, https://time.com/5828325/coronavirus-covid19-
seasonal-asymptomatic-carriers.
[20] Kristof, Nicholas, “Let’s Remember That the Coronavirus Is
Still a Mystery”, The New York Times, 20 May 2020,
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/20/opinion/us-coronavirus-
reopening.html.
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