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ENDNOTES

[1] Snowden, Frank, Epidemics and Society: From the Black
Death to the Present, Yale University Press, 2019.

[2] Tuchman, Barbara, A Distant Mirror – The Calamitous 14th
Century, Random House Trade Paperbacks; Reissue edition,
1987.

[3] Solana, Javier, “Our Finest Hour”, Project Syndicate, 28
March 2020, https://www.project-
syndicate.org/commentary/global-socioeconomic-landscape-after-
covid19-pandemic-by-javier-solana-2020-03.
[4] Camus, Albert, The Plague, Stuart Gilbert translation, Alfred

A. Knopf, Inc., 1948, p. 80.
[5] Mahbubani, Kishore, The Great Convergence: Asia, the

West, and the Logic of One World, PublicAffairs, Perseus Books
Group, 2013.
[6] World Economic Forum, The Global Risks Report 2020,
Insight Report, 15th Edition,

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risk_Report_2020.p
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[7] Wharton University of Pennsylvania, Risk Management and

Decision Processes Center, “The Ostrich Paradox: Why We
Underprepare for Disasters”, Issue Brief, May 2018,
https://riskcenter.wharton.upenn.edu/wp-
content/uploads/2019/03/Ostrich-Paradox-issue-brief.pdf.
[8] Wagenaar, William A. and Sabato D. Sagaria,

“Misperception of exponential growth”, Perception &
Psychophysics, vol. 18, 1975, pp. 416–422,
https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/BF03204114.

[9] CDC, “2019-2020 U.S. Flu Season: Preliminary Burden
Estimates”, https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-
season-estimates.htm
[10] Johns Hopkins University & Medicine, Coronavirus

Resource Center, “COVID-19 Dashboard by the Center for

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