Page 5 - DMEA Week 33 2022
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA


                         Free cash flow (FCF) increased from $22.6bn   expansion plans and output will ramp up to “a
                         to $34.6bn, and the company continues to pay   sustainable rate” of 2 bcf (57 mcm) per day by
                         the $18.75bn per quarter dividend enshrined in   2030, providing feedstock for hydrogen and
                         its initial public offering (IPO), though with the   ammonia production and help satisfy expand-
                         state still owning 94.3% of the company directly,   ing local demand.
                         and another 4% through the Public Investment   As in Q1-2022, the company provided an
                         Fund (PIF), just $319mn per quarter goes to   update on the Hawiyah Unayzah Gas Reservoir
                         non-state entities and investors.    Storage project, noting that it has reached “an
                           With return on average capital employed   advanced stage, with the injection phase nearing
                         (ROACE) for Q2-2022 increasing to 31.3%, up   completion”. The facility is seen providing up to
                         14.6% y/y, Aramco reiterated capital expendi-  2 bcf (57 mcm) per day of gas for reintroduction
                         ture (capex) guidance for 2022 at $40-50bn, the   to the Master Gas System by 2024.
                         largest capital programme in its history, $18bn
                         more than last year and considerably more   Downstream
                         than any other NOC or IOC, though it noted it   In the downstream, Aramco announced that   Aramco has
                         would be at the lower end of this range. Capex   its long-awaited, 300,000 bpd Pengerang Pet-
                         for Q2-2022 was up by 25% y/y to $9.4bn.  rochemical Co. (PRefChem) facility in Malay-  said that work
                                                              sia had finally begun operations in May, noting
                         Operations                           that it would ramp up to full capacity by the end  to integrate the
                         Nasser was in a buoyant mood, saying that Ara-  of the year.               operations of
                         mco expects oil demand “to continue to grow   The plant’s development was hampered by a
                         for the rest of the decade, despite downward eco-  string of accidents since Aramco made a $7bn   SABIC is “ahead
                         nomic pressures on short-term global forecasts.”  investment to acquire a 50% stake in 2018.
                           However, he added, “while there is a very   Once at capacity, the PRefChem plant will   of schedule”
                         real and present need to safeguard the security   take Aramco’s net capacity from international
                         of energy supplies, climate goals remain critical,   refining joint ventures (JVs) to 1.52mn bpd in
                         which is why Aramco is working to increase   addition to its 1.46mn bpd domestic wholly
                         production from multiple energy sources –   owned slate and another 906,000 bpd of capacity
                         including oil and gas, as well as renewables and   at domestic JV refineries.
                         blue hydrogen.”                        Meanwhile, Aramco said that work to inte-
                           The company said it continued to make pro-  grate the operations of Saudi Basic Industries
                         gress to expand maximum sustainable capac-  Corp. (SABIC), in which it acquired a 70%
                         ity (MSC) from 12mn barrels per day (bpd) to   stake for $69bn in 2019, is “ahead of schedule”
                         13mn bpd by 2027. Total hydrocarbon produc-  with synergies offered across procurement,
                         tion during Q2-2022 averaged 13.6mn barrels   stream integration, feedstock optimisation and
                         of oil equivalent per day (boepd), up 600,000   maintenance activities. Rights to polymer and
                         boepd on Q1-2022. No breakdown was offered   monoethylene glycol (MEG) from PRefChem
                         for oil and gas, but data seen by NewsBase  sug-  have also been transferred to SABIC.
                         gests that Aramco’s crude oil production aver-  Amid buoyant operational and financial per-
                         aged 10.3mn bpd, a slight increase on Q1-2022,   formance, Aramco has cash on the hip and has
                         when output averaged 10.22mn bpd.    paid down previous debts, reducing its gearing
                           In terms of gas development, Aramco said   ratio – the ratio of net debt to net debt plus total
                         that it was “progressing towards increasing   equity – to 7.9% from 14.2% at the end of 2021.
                         production” as work continues to construct the   Upstream is the company’s bread and but-
                         3.1bn cubic feet (88mn cubic metres) per day   ter, though, and the MSC expansion projects
                         Jafurah Gas Plant. Aramco said it is expected to   including the crude increment programmes at
                         be completed in two phases by 2027, with the   the Berri, Dammam, Khurais, Marjan and Zuluf
                         unconventional Jafurah field seen beginning   oilfields, targeting 1.5mn bpd of new output, are
                         production in 2025.                  likely to account for the majority of its capex for
                           The field is the key focus of Aramco’s gas   years to come. ™





















                                                             Storage tanks at Ras Tanura port (Photo: Saudi Aramco)



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