Page 4 - MEOG Week 15 2022
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MEOG                                          COMMENTARY                                               MEOG




       Iran maintains oil,





       gas expansion push






       Tehran is proceeding with efforts to expand oil and gas
       production capacity as it works towards ambitious targets.




        IRAN             IN an otherwise quiet week in Middle Eastern oil  Petroleum (MoP) said that the country had
                         and gas markets, Iran maintained its upstream  achieved a capacity of 3.838mn bpd in 2018
                         momentum as it seeks to increase production of  before the US withdrew from the Joint Compre-
       WHAT:             both oil and gas.                    hensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
       Iran this week announced   While the outlook for the Islamic Republic on   With Tehran setting a target of achieving
       progress on increasing   the world stage remains uncertain as talks with  5.7mn bpd of production capacity by the end of
       oil capabilities while   international powers stall, Tehran is focused on  the decade, drilling work has ramped up across
       kicking off efforts to add   increasing oil output for sale on global markets  the country, with the National Iranian Drilling
       to gas flows.     and more gas is required to feed the downstream  Co. (NIDC) and other drillers keeping busy.
                         and satisfy peak demand at home and in neigh-  The state firm recently reported that it had
       WHY:              bouring Iraq.                        drilled 75 wells during the year running March
       The country aims to reach                              2021-March 2022.
       5.7mn bpd of oil capacity   South oil                    Some of the most important were those
       by the end of the decade   A subsidiary of the National Iranian Oil Co.  drilled at South Azadegan in the West Karoun
       while hiking gas output to   (NIOC) has said that it has ramped up oil pro-  oilfield cluster in NISOC’s area of operation.
       1.5 bcm per day.  duction by 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the   Production from the field is understood to be
                         eight months since the administration of Ebra-  around 140,000 bpd, though field development
       WHAT NEXT:        him Raisi came to power.             efforts are ongoing to raise output to 320,000
       Expansion to these levels   Speaking to the official Islamic Republic  bpd in the first phase, with a second phase add-
       will require upwards   News Agency (IRNA), Alireza Daneshi, CEO  ing another 280,000 bpd under the management
       of $200bn, though with   of the National Iranian South Oil Co. (NISOC),  of NIOC subsidiary Petroleum Engineering and
       less than 5% of this   said that conditions prior to Raisi entering office  Development Co. (PEDEC).
       so far sourced and the   were unfavourable, with oil production only   The broader Azadegan deposit is home to
       country’s downstream   sufficient to provide feedstock for domestic  around 32bn barrels of oil in place (OIP) across
       also requiring    refineries.                          the Sarvak, Kazhdomi, Godvan and Fahilan
       investment, there are   However, he said that following a request  layers, Azadegan is Iran’s largest oilfield and is
       significant question   from the Raisi administration, NISOC had mod-  split into two development projects – South and
       marks about whether the   ified its oil production plan, the implementation  North. The giant reservoir is shared with Iraq,
       targets will be met.  of which has led to the increase.  where it is known Majnoon (Insane) on account
                           “Whenever the administration instructs, we  of its size.
                         can quickly return to the pre-sanctions produc-  The expansion of South Azadegan is part of
                         tion levels; we have seen a decline in downhole  wider efforts by NIOC to increase output capac-
                         activities over the past 15 years, but now the sit-  ity throughout West Karoun, which currently
                         uation is favourable and although the problems  produces a combined 420,000 bpd across mul-
                         have not been completely resolved, the situation  tiple major assets including Darkhoein, Yadav-
                         is improving,” he added.             aran, North & South Yaran.
                           However, given that the latest data from   NIOC has identified $8bn worth of projects
                         OPEC, which were released last week, show  in the area, noting last year that $11bn would be
                         that Iranian oil production has risen from a  required as it targets an additional 580,000 bpd
                         2021 average of 2.4mn bpd to 2.55mn bpd as of  from West Karoun’s 67bn barrels of OIP towards
                         March, it appears that Daneshi’s comments were  the 2030 capacity target. Of this funding, at least
                         addressing crude production capacity rather  $4bn will be provided by the headquarters for
                         than actual output.                  Execution of Imam Khomeini’s Order (EIKO),
                           This aligns with a statement from the coun-  the Mostazafan Foundation, the government
                         try’s Minister of Petroleum Javad Owji, who said  and Iranian banks.
                         last week: “The current oil production capacity
                         has reached the pre-sanctions era, meaning the  Gas expansion
                         daily figure of over 3.8mn barrels.”  Meanwhile, Owji said this week that work has
                           A recent report from the Ministry of  begun to expand capacity across the country’s



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