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NorthAmOil                                   COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil


                                                                                                  Oil and gas investments
                                                                                                  are increasingly
                                                                                                  competing with cleaner
                                                                                                  energy sources for
                                                                                                  investment.






























                         of TAQA’s entire oil and gas portfolio. The com-  CAPP’s CEO, Tim McMillan, condemned the
                         pany also says it is among Canada’s top 15 oil  move as being “damaging to Canada and irre-
                         producers by volumes.                sponsible to shareholders”, given the backdrop
                           According to the sources, TAQA is working  of rising demand for oil and gas.
                         with Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. (TPH) and
                         Jefferies. Reuters cited a sale document it had  Price push
                         seen as saying the company would make confi-  Meanwhile, a number of private equity firms
                         dential information presentations to interested  are trying to take advantage of higher oil
                         parties in October.                  prices to sell off the producers they back. Reu-
                           TAQA is planning to reduce greenhouse  ters reported in mid-September that at least
                         gas (GHG) emissions from its operations by  a dozen private equity-backed Canadian oil
                         expanding its electricity generation business  and gas assets valued at CAD50-500mn ($39-
                         while selling fossil fuel assets.    394mn) were on sale, according to an industry
                                                              source.
                         Pulling back                          The current environment for private equity
                         Like TAQA, Caisse is intending to pull back from  firms – and others – to cash in on their Cana-
                         oil and gas with decarbonisation goals in mind.  dian oil and gas investments is estimated to
                         It was the first major Canadian pension fund to  be the best in more than seven years. Indeed,
                         set a net-zero target, in 2019, and has now said  2014 was when crude prices started falling, and   Operators that
                         that it wants to stop contributing to the growth  while they have gone through cycles of recovery
                         of global oil supplies altogether.   since, times have largely remained challenging   want to continue
                           The move to sell stakes in oil producers  for Canada’s oil industry.    producing oil and
                         will affect about 10 companies, Caisse’s CEO,   Now, though, things are looking up, at least
                         Charles Emond, said in a briefing, adding that  in terms of consolidation and takeaway capac-  gas in Canada
                         current oil and gas prices gave the pension fund  ity. Operators that want to continue producing
                         a good window to sell.               oil and gas in Canada are keen to build scale,  are keen to build
                           The fund has been whittling down its oil  helping to drive the current wave of consoli-
                         investments for some time, and now owns  dation. Meanwhile, the start-up of Enbridge’s   scale.
                         roughly CAD4bn ($3.1bn) in oil producer assets  Line 3 replacement pipeline, set for October 1,
                         – about half the amount it had 4-5 years ago,  is expected to ease a long-standing takeaway
                         according to Emond. Bloomberg data showed  capacity shortage.
                         that Caisse’s largest energy investments include   Despite this, though, production in Canada is
                         oil sands producers Suncor Energy and Cana-  only expected to grow incrementally, while even
                         dian Natural Resources Ltd (CNRL), in which it  leading producers in the country are holding
                         held a combined CAD1bn ($787mn) in shares  back from making major new investments. On
                         as of June 30.                       the other hand, if oil and gas demand keeps ris-
                           The production assets make up around 1%  ing, an appetite for more Canadian barrels may
                         of Caisse’s CAD390bn ($307bn) portfolio, but  yet emerge. Much depends on how growing
                         it has opted to hold on to its existing oil and gas  demand can be balanced with the acceleration
                         pipeline assets, which account for around 2%.  of decarbonisation efforts.™



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