Page 6 - DMEA Week 04 2021
P. 6

DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA


       As pressure eases, Iranian oil





       exports edge upwards






       Iran has maintained a base level of exports through various covert means


        IRAN             IRANIAN Minister of Petroleum Bijan Zan-  international observers and reports suggest that
                         ganeh said last week that a sharp increase has  volumes have been and continue to be blended
                         been experienced in the country’s oil exports  and sold as ‘Iraqi crude’.
                         following the end of the Presidency of Donald
                         Trump in the US.                     Goreh-Jask update
                           While the increases have been modest, with  In related news, local firm Petroleum Engineer-
                         Bloomberg quoting various industry sources as  ing and Development Co. (PEDEC) has said that
                         saying that the gains are around 30,000-50,000  work on the first phase of Iran’s strategic Goreh-
                         barrels per day (bpd), they represent increased  Jask oil pipeline project is now more than 70%
                         confidence on behalf of buyers though covert  complete.
                         practices continue to be employed to maintain   The company’s deputy director of the project,
                         a lack of clarity about sales.       Ali Jafarzadeh reiterated that the phase will be
                           Given China’s history of working around  completed by the end of the current Iranian cal-
                         the sanctions to continue buying Iranian oil, it  endar year, which ends on March 20.
                         would be unsurprising if sales had increased,   In December, PEDEC’s managing director
                         while Bloomberg quoted a trader as saying that  Touraj Dehghani said that the first phase would
                         Iranian flows had ticked upwards.    have a capacity of more than 300,000 bpd with
                           Throughout the ongoing period of sanctions,  more than 400km of pipe having now been laid.
                         Iran has maintained a base level of export through  Meanwhile, the full 1,000km project will have a
                         various covert means, including turning off ship-  total capacity of 1mn bpd when complete by the
                         ping transponders to make vessels ‘go dark’.  end of 2021.
                           Meanwhile, Zanganeh admitted that it had   Work began on the line last April, with Pres-
                         sought to obfuscate the origin of cargoes, saying  ident Hassan Rouhani saying at the time that
                         “whatever [Iran] export[s] is not under Iran’s  “Jask will turn into Iran’s key hub of oil exports.”
                         name” and supporting “any proposal for selling   The pipeline will link the Gulf port city of
                         Iranian crude”.                      Goreh in Bushehr province to Jask on the Sea
                           He had previously been asked if Iran was still  of Oman. At present the Kharg Island terminal
                         selling oil on international markets and replied:  in the Gulf accounts for 90% of the country’s oil
                         “officially nothing”, with covert sales understood  exports.
                         to be continuing to Chinese clients as well as   Of the $1.8bn total project cost, the Goreh-
                         quantities piped and trucked into neighbouring  Jask pipeline is anticipated to come in at around
                         countries, particularly Iraq.        $1.1bn, with the remainder being spent on the
                           Various investigations by Middle East Oil  development of the port. The Jask port will
                         & Gas (MEOG) learnt that political alliances  feature 20 tanks with a total storage capacity of
                         between Iran and Iraq had allowed the former to  10mn barrels of crude, with plans in plans to
                         act as a conduit for Iranian oil into the interna-  expand export infrastructure.
                         tional markets in order to help it circumvent the   Meanwhile, Jafarzadeh noted that more
                         US’s re-imposed sanctions, just as it did under  than 96% of the equipment and parts used were
                         the previous longstanding sanctions regime.  sourced domestically, adding that by using
                           Trucks moved oil between the two countries,  domestic contractors, the developers had saved
                         beginning at around 15,000 bpd, and ramping  more than $606mn.
                         up to at least 60,000 bpd.             Progress is also being made at associated
                           In theory, these trucks move from the Kirkuk  export facilities, with head of the Jask Oil Termi-
                         region across the border into Iran’s Ilam prov-  nal Project Vahid Maleki saying that work had
                         ince for use in its Kermanshah, Shazand, Tehran  begun to install a 2.5km pipeline pipe that will
                         and Tabriz refineries, whilst Iran in turn deliv-  feed the first single-point mooring (SPM), an
                         ers an identical amount of the same quality to  integral element in phase one.
                         Basra, whereupon it is moved to Al Basrah Oil   When complete, the offshore facilities will
                         Terminal (ABOT) and/or Khor Al Amaya Oil  comprise two 6-km pipelines each with a diame-
                         Terminal (KAAOT), depending on availability  ter of 36-inches (914mm) in addition to the SPM.
                         at the time.                           The terminal which is being developed by
                           However, in reality once delivered to Iraq,  Pars Oil and Gas Co. (POGC) at a cost of around
                         it is impossible for the crude to be traced by  $315mn. ™



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