Page 13 - AsianOil Annual Review 2021
P. 13

AsianOil                                           M AY                                             AsianOil








































                           Despite these figures, the state major is  Sinopec’s Shandong-based gas subsidiary,
                         sceptical of domestic gas resources’ ability to  Wang Jinjun, said.
                         cover the country’s ever-growing demand for
                         the fuel.                            What next
                                                              The central government has set a goal of lifting
                         Strong demand                        gas’ share of the total primary energy mix from
                         Caixin quoted an official in the sales man-  around 8% in 2019 to 15% by 2030.
                         agement department of Sinopec’s gas unit, Xi   To achieve this the government needs to
                         Haihong, as saying that an upstream produc-  ensure not only that consumption will rise to a
                         tion squeeze was making the company more  suitable level but also that there is enough gas in
                         reliant on imports. Sinopec said in May that  the country’s pipelines to meet demand.
                         it planned to import 17.4mn tonnes of LNG   The National Energy Administration (NEA)
                         in 2021.                             has set a 2021 gas production target of 202.5
                           “In terms of further development, resources  bcm, a 5.2% increase y/y. This forecast, coupled
                         are still our shortcoming,” Xi said, pointing to  with Sinopec’s prediction that demand will grow
                         relatively limited domestic gas reserves and low  to 350-360 bcm this year, suggests that imports
                         growth rates as areas of concern.    will have to increase by 7.2-17.2 bcm – or 5.1-
                           The company expects national gas demand to  12.3% – to cover the shortfall this year.
                         increase by 9-12% y/y in 2021 to 350-360 bcm,   Higher consumption figures are good news
                         industry news outlet Argus quoted unnamed  for private midstream operators such as China
                         officials from the company’s gas sales unit as say-  Gas Holdings, which announced plans last
                         ing. They said on May 3 that gas-fired thermal  month for the sale of HKD11.66bn ($1.5bn)
                         power plants (TPPs) and industrial consumers  worth of new shares to raise capital for gas
                         were anticipated to drive demand this year.  projects.
                           China’s gas consumption climbed by 7.2%   Not only does the private piped gas player
                         y/y in 2020 to 326.2 bcm, according to National  plan to expand and develop liquid petroleum gas
                         Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data. Domestic gas  (LPG) and distribution heating businesses; it has
                         production, meanwhile, increased by 9.8% to  also said it wants to acquire city gas projects.
                         192.5 bcm last year, while imports of piped gas   For the country’s state operators, however,
                         and LNG expanded by 5.3% to 101.66mn tonnes  limited midstream access means that their future
                         (140.3 bcm).                         lies in building LNG import capacity. Upstream
                           Another company official told Caixin that  production has for many years struggled to keep
                         the spin-off of Sinopec’s midstream assets to  pace with demand and Sinopec has said that this
                         PipeChina, in return for CNY52.7bn ($8.15bn)  trend is unlikely to change any time soon.
                         and a 14% stake in the pipeline operator, had   Given the fundamental and ongoing altera-
                         forced the company to lean into LNG terminal  tions to China’s energy landscape, as the country
                         investment.                          strives to pivot away from coal and oil, invest-
                           “The challenges for us have become  ing in new LNG projects appears to be the state
                         bigger and bigger,” the general manager of  majors’ only sensible gas strategy.™



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