Page 13 - AsianOil Week 09 2023
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       ASEAN gas demand to double by 2050: GECF




        ASEAN            THE 10 Southeast Asian members of ASEAN  and Malaysia would continue to show the largest
                         are forecast to see a doubling in demand for nat-  demand.
       Demand is expected to   ural gas by 2050, according a report delivered   Gas production in ASEAN will be about 180
       hit 350 bcm by 2050.  to a conference of the Gas Exporting Countries  bcm in 2050, according to GECF. Hammel rec-
                         Forum (GECF) in Jakarta last week.   ommended that ASEAN take steps to switch
                           Natural gas demand is slated to grow to 350bn  from coal to natural gas, saying that natural gas
                         cubic metres by 2050 as the region switches  “is a partner for renewables, providing backup
                         away from coal-fired power generation, GECF  and stability to power grids.”
                         secretary general Mohammed Hammel told the   Coal currently accounts for 24% of the
                         gathering, adding that natural gas will increase to  ASEAN power mix, but is forecast to fall to 13%
                         make up 24% of the region’s energy mix at that  as the use of renewable and low carbon fuels
                         time.                                expands. GECF data said that if carbon capture
                           The conference, which examined the pros-  and storage (CCS) technology is employed, nat-
                         pects for natural gas in the region, was also  ural gas usage could remove 735mn tonnes of
                         attended by the Economic Research Institute for  carbon dioxide emissions in the power sector
                         ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).          by 2050.
                           ASEAN’s natural gas demand stood at 160   ASEAN’s increasing population and growing
                         bcm in 2021, according to GECF data released  economic activity are deemed responsible for
                         at that conference, and 80 bcm of that is used  the region’s rising demand for energy. The pop-
                         for power generation, while 50 bcm is used by  ulation is growing rapidly. Some 675mn people
                         industry. GECF projections showed that those  inhabit the region now. This will likely rise to
                         sectors would continue to consume most of the  790mn by 2050. GDP will triple from $3.1 tril-
                         region’s natural gas and that Indonesia, Thailand  lion to $10.5 trillion during that time. ™



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