Page 15 - DMEA Week 23
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DMEA                                             POLICY                                               DMEA






































        Iraq facing a financial crisis and



        public service meltdown





        IRAQ             IN the past month Iraq’s new Prime Minister,  families.
                         Mustafa al-Kadhimi, has taken several steps to   The oil price collapse brought on by a dispute
                         bring some stability and order to his country, but  between Saudi Arabia and Russia in March sent
                         a major challenge lies ahead as the country faces  the value of Iraq’s exports plummeting, and dur-
                         an economic crisis which could leave millions of  ing April and May they brought in no more than
                         Iraqis out of pocket and lead to a fresh outbreak  $3.49bn, about a third of the sum needed.
                         of unrest.                             Although oil prices have begun to recover,
                           The recent sharp decline in oil prices, the  with the price of a barrel reaching $42 over the
                         coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and months  past few days, Iraq’s shortfall in revenues casts
                         of political turbulence have left Iraq’s financial  a long shadow over June and July, as the coun-
                         situation in turmoil.                try only receives the cash raised by exports two
                           On the horizon is Baghdad’s inability to  months after their sale.
                         secure the next two months’ salaries for public
                         sector employees, or pay pensions and benefits,  Crisis long foreseen
                         a loss of income that would affect the majority of  Iraq’s over-reliance on oil has long been foreseen.
                         Iraqi households.                      A joint governmental-parliamentary com-
                           Such an outcome could stoke widespread  mittee was formed months ago to address the
                         unrest, threaten the new government and see  fiscal deficit and try to find additional resources
                         public institutions, including oilfields, targeted  other than oil to boost the country’s annual
                         by angry protesters.                 financial budget resources.
                                                                The committee submitted a set of remedies
                         Loss of oil revenue                  and proposals to premier Adel Abdul-Mahdi
                         Iraq is the Organisation of the Petroleum  shortly before he stepped down earlier this year,
                         Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) second-biggest  but he ignored them.
                         oil producer; its economy relies heavily on the   A revised version of this draft has now been
                         revenues of crude oil exports, which represent  resubmitted to al-Kadhimi, in preparation for
                         more than 90% of the state’s income.  voting and approval at the weekly cabinet meet-
                           The government needs 12 trillion dinars  ing on Tuesday.
                         ($10bn) to pay the June and July salaries of more   The draft is said to lay out a set of urgent rem-
                         than 4mn employees, retirees and beneficiaries,  edies to tackle this large budget deficit.
                         as well as cover the expenses of the efforts against   The proposals sound drastic and include:
                         the coronavirus and food relief for low-income  stopping the disbursement of “unnecessary”



       Week 23   11•June•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                             P15
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