Page 9 - MEOG Week 44 2022
P. 9

MEOG                                     POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG















































                           Sudani’s anti-corruption campaign of “build-  opposition on the part of the pro-Sudani polit-
                         ing effective tools to fight corruption within a  ical team. So if Sudani opts for radical solutions
                         maximum period of 90 days from the date of  similar to the white paper proposals, he could
                         formation of the government,” as he promised,  lose the support of Parliament. And if he turns
                         is actually a double-edged sword. This is every-  towards temporary solutions similar to the solu-
                         one’s demand both inside and outside Iraq, and  tions of the governments that preceded al-Ka-
                         it forces Sudani to engage in very harsh confron-  dhimi – chief among them job appointments
                         tations, some of which might be against his own  and scales – then he will further complicate the
                         supporters.                          economic problems facing Iraq and may lose the
                           This raises the question as to whether Sudani  support of international financial organisations
                         will be ready to engage in a confrontation at a  such as the World Bank. The public sector is
                         time when he has to be very cautious toward  already grappling with inflation and stagnation,
                         Sadr and his current supporters.     and it needs restructuring through co-operation
                           Of note, al-Kadhimi’s government also  and exchange with the private sector.
                         focused on the fight against corruption, as it   In terms of services, securing the necessary
                         formed a special committee in this regard. While  amount of electricity for the 2023 summer
                         the committee managed to make some progress,  season is the biggest challenge Sudani has to
                         it faced great pressure, which led to its subse-  meet. Electricity production largely depends on
                         quent dissolution by the judiciary.  imports of Iranian gas, and the plans and projects
                           Sudani’s proposals in terms of creating job  launched by the previous government – includ-
                         opportunities for the youth may collide with the  ing setting up electricity connections with Saudi
                         complex economic reality and the need, ulti-  Arabia, the Gulf, Jordan and Egypt – and solar
                         mately, for radical reforms in Iraq.  energy projects and gas extraction faced strong
                           The Iraqi economy is highly dependent on  opposition from the pro-Sudani political team,
                         the state and its financial resources amid very  which deemed this to be an influence of Western
                         little private sector contribution. Al-Kadhimi’s  and Arab countries that do not get along with the
                         government had previously adopted an eco-  pro-Iran axis in the region.
                         nomic reform programme dubbed the “white   At the level of foreign relations, Sudani is
                         paper.” It relied on privatisation, foreign invest-  likely to have a less tense relationship with Iran.
                         ments, as well as greater state revenues through  An open question is whether he can expand on
                         taxes and administrative reforms.    al-Kadhimi’s progress in deepening ties with
                           However, the programme faced widespread  Egypt, Jordan and the GCC.™





       Week 44   02•November•2022               www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P9
   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14