Page 7 - AsianOil Week 10 2021
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AsianOil                                     ASIA-PACIFIC                                           AsianOil































                         Piece of the puzzle                  Brighter outlook
                         Some differences of opinion emerged at this  The outlook is brighter for natural gas, which was
                         year’s CERAWeek about what sort of future  touted by many as being a transition fuel that has
                         oil and gas will have in this context. Some,  a potentially longer lifespan than oil. Indeed, van
                         such as the CEOs of BP and Royal Dutch  Beurden said that Shell will continue to invest
                         Shell, talked up their efforts to move away  in gas even as it moves away from oil, adding
                         from oil and gas.                    that he believed gas would outlive oil for at least
                           “We’ve been an oil and gas company for 112  a decade. Others – particularly prominent LNG
                         years, and I think this is a moment where we  players – echoed these expectations.
                         do have to reinvent the company,” BP’s CEO,   “When we look at LNG and natural gas, we
                         Bernard Looney, said. “We decided to really  think it’s a perfect complement to renewables,”
                         embrace that energy transition, more as a mas-  US LNG producer Cheniere Energy’s president
                         sive opportunity and not look at it as some sort  and CEO, Jack Fusco, said. “I think everybody
                         of threat to our core business.”     will agree that natural gas is a key component of
                           Shell’s CEO, Ben van Beurden, for his part,  a cleaner energy environment.”
                         said he believed his company’s oil output had   Chevron’s Wirth also said his company was
                         peaked in 2019 and that targeting customers  “bullish on natural gas” and saw LNG as having
                         seeking to reduce their own emissions presented  “a very important role in the lower-carbon econ-
                         a business opportunity.              omy that we’re all working toward”.
                           Others, meanwhile, put more emphasis on   And a number of other speakers expressed
                         the importance of oil and gas and the demand  similar sentiments.
                         they will continue to meet for some time.
                           “I think one of the key lessons [of the pan-  What next
                         demic] here is the essential nature of our indus-  Some of these concepts, including that of gas
                         try,” said Chevron’s CEO, Mike Wirth. “We saw a  as a bridge fuel, are nothing new and have been
                         pandemic that created a global recession and an  discussed at CERAWeek and other conferences
                         enormous response in policy that created eco-  for some years. Other topics of discussion have
                         nomic slowdowns around the world. And yet,  evolved. Certainly, the issue of post-pandemic
                         as we went through one of the most significant  recovery and the changes that will come in the
                         shocks that we’ve seen to the global economy in  wake of coronavirus (COVID-19) is a new area
                         decades, demand destruction for oil and gas only  of focus.
                         averaged something like 9%, despite a crisis in   Additionally, the dialogue appears to be
                         which we were tested like never before. And so, I  increasingly shifting from simply discussing the
                         think it demonstrates how important our indus-  importance of reducing emissions to discussions
                         try is to the world economy.”        of the practical steps involved and how chal-
                           A number of company executives said they  lenges can be overcome.
                         expected oil and gas demand to grow over the   With more and more companies pursuing
                         next decade.                         their own decarbonisation targets, there will be
                           “Hydrocarbons are still going to be essential  more to talk about in practical terms, based on
                         for providing energy to the world, especially in  their experience.
                         the near term,” Baker Hughes’ CEO, Lorenzo   And while some oil and gas companies will
                         Simonelli, said.                     be resistant to the idea of decarbonisation, the
                           Indeed, the International Energy Agency  energy transition increasingly appears to be
                         (IEA) estimates that producers will need to  unstoppable. As the CERAWeek speakers sought
                         invest $500-600bn per year in new oil and gas  to point out, however, there are considerable
                         projects in order to keep up with global demand.  challenges ahead.™



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