Page 8 - MEOG Week 50 2020
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MEOG                                              POLICY                                               MEOG


       Zanganeh sees quick production




       increase if sanctions are lifted




        IRAN             IRAN is planning crude oil and condensate out-  US President-elect Joe Biden has said that
                         put of 4.5mn barrels per day starting from March  he is looking to engage with Iran, with a possi-
                         21 (the first day of the 2021/2022 Persian year),  ble renegotiation of the nuclear deal that lifted
                         with exports at 2.3mn bpd, if current US sanc-  sanctions on Iran’s oil sector before US President
                         tions are lifted by the incoming Biden admin-  Donald Trump was elected and in May 2018
                         istration, Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar  pulled the US out of the nuclear agreement in
                         Zanganeh was quoted by saying as official energy  favour of exerting pressure on Tehran on Middle
                         news agency SHANA on December 13.    East policy demands with crushing sanctions.
                           “The oil minister was asked by deputies   Under the Trump sanctions regime, Iran
                         whether this oil exports forecast for the next year  has exported what oil and condensates it can
                         wasn’t optimistic. He answered: ‘We have con-  on the grey market. There are widely varying
                         sidered this figure conditioned to the removal  assessments of the success Iran has had with
                         of the sanctions. If the conditions improve, this  this approach, with some analysts calculating
                         figure will be realised. Otherwise, we will sell  that in certain months the country’s grey market
                         participation bonds,” Jafar Ghaderi, a member  exports have climbed as high as 800,000 bpd.
                         of parliament’s planning and budget committee,   Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said last
                         was quoted as saying by state news agency IRNA  week that Biden should re-enter the nuclear deal,
                         after a meeting with Zanganeh.       formally named the Joint Comprehensive Plan
                           If the targets were achieved, Iran could earn  of Action, or JCPOA, after reversing sanctions
                         more than $17.3bn in oil revenue in the next  first.
                         Persian year, lawmakers were also reportedly   “Returning to the obligations does not take
                         briefed.                             time at all and it only depends on resolve, just like
                           “The oil minister stressed that given this  when the JCPOA’s leg was broken and that less
                         export volume, around 25% of the money in the  literate tradesman [Trump] doodled a piece of
                         [Persian] year 1400’s budget will be provided,”  paper… the next person [Biden] can put a good
                         Ghaderi was also quoted as saying, adding: “Of  piece of paper on the table and sign it nicely so
                         course, this has been based on a dollar parity  that we can return to [where we were in] the first
                         rate at 115,000 rials for basic commodities and  place, and it does not take time at all,” Rouhani
                         170,000 for state companies.”        said.™










































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