Page 6 - DMEA Week 07 2022
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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




       Gasoline shortages and





       unexpected consequences






       Nigeria’s attempt to avoid labour unrest and consumer discontent
       by keeping the gasoline subsidy in place indefinitely backfires.


        AFRICA           NIGERIA’S presidential administration recently  unacceptably high levels of methanol. Subse-
                         managed to avert a confrontation with labour  quently, NNPC’s Pipelines Product Marketing
                         unions by abandoning its plans to eliminate sub-  Co. (PPMC) subsidiary began working to recall
       WHAT:             sidies for domestic gasoline prices.  the gasoline, keep it out of the domestic market
       Nigeria has been    These subsidies do represent a huge finan-  and return it to the original supplier.
       experiencing widespread   cial burden, as they have reportedly been cost-  Nevertheless, some of the contaminated fuel
       gasoline shortages   ing Abuja about NGN243bn ($584mn) each  made its way onto the local market. The Nige-
       following the arrival of   month, or nearly NGN3 trillion ($7.21bn) per  rian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum
       contaminated import   year. However, they are politically popular, as  Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) did attempt
       cargoes.          they keep gasoline prices far below world mar-  to isolate these volumes and remove them from
                         ket levels.                          distribution networks, but its efforts had an
       WHY:                As such, the federal government has been  impact on efforts to keep Nigerian filling stations
       The supply disruptions   reluctant to commit to scrapping them, as rec-  supplied.
       are occurring in the wake   ommended by international financial institu-  As a result, many retail fuel sellers began run-
       of disputes over the fate   tions (IFIs) such as the World Bank.  ning short last week, and the supply problems
       of domestic gasoline   That reluctance led President Muhammadu  persisted through the weekend and into this
       price subsidies.  Buhari and his supporters in the Senate to decide  week.
                         in late January that subsidies would remain in
       WHAT NEXT:        place indefinitely rather than being eliminated  LITASCO’s role
       Abuja is now facing   in mid-2022 as previously announced. This  Meanwhile, NNPC issued a statement on Feb-
       problems similar to those   move allowed the country to defuse the threat  ruary 10 naming four of the companies that had
       it was trying to avoid by   of a nationwide strike by an umbrella organisa-  supplied the contaminated gasoline.
       keeping the subsidies in   tions representing many of the country’s labour   In the statement, it identified the firms as
       place – namely, labour   unions.                       MRS, Oando, the Emadeb/Hyde/AY Maikifi/
       unrest and unstable fuel   As such, the Buhari administration should  Brittania-U Consortium and Duke Oil. (The
       prices.           have been able to breathe a sigh of relief, secure  fourth is a subsidiary of state-owned NNPC, it
                         in its knowledge that it was not about to see cit-  noted.) It also reported that all four of the com-
                         izens take to the streets to complain about the  panies had loaded their tankers with gasoline
                         cost of gasoline. But it has not managed to do  at the LITASCO terminal in the Belgian port of
                         that. Instead, it has had to address a different  Antwerp.
                         problem in the downstream sector – a supply   NNPC’s suspicions of LITASCO appear to
                         crunch.                              run even deeper. Reuters reported at the week-
                                                              end that the state-run company had prevented
                         Unfortunate timing                   two tankers that had loaded up with gasoline
                         As previously reported, the problem became evi-  in Antwerp from landing and discharging their
                         dent earlier this month. Nigerian press sources  cargo in Lagos, owing to concerns about the pos-
                         began experiencing supply disruptions follow-  sibility that they might be carrying contaminated
                         ing the federal government’s decision to retain  fuel.
                         subsidies for domestic gasoline prices, especially   Citing ship tracking data from Refinitiv Eikon
                         in and around the cities of Lagos and Abuja.  and other sources, the news agency named the
                           The shortages did not arise because of the  two tankers that were turned away as the STI
                         subsidy. Instead, they appear to be the result of  Symphony and Velos Diamantis. It said the for-
                         an unfortunately timed arrival of about 100mn  mer vessel had been chartered by LITASCO on
                         litres of contaminated gasoline in Nigerian ports.  January 15 to deliver 90,000 tonnes of gasoline to
                         The fuel was imported by state-owned Nigerian  West Africa. The STI Symphony loaded up with
                         National Petroleum Corp. (NNPC) on behalf of  gasoline at Antwerp on January 22 and then left
                         local fuel firms working under the Direct-Sale-  port, listing Lagos as its destination. However,
                         Direct-Purchase (DSDP) programme.    it changed course off the coast of Guinea after
                           After its arrival in Nigeria, NNPC inspec-  receiving new instructions from NNPC, which
                         tors determined that the gasoline contained  has a monopoly on fuel imports in Nigeria, and



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