Page 8 - MEOG Week 17 2021
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MEOG                                   FINANCE & INVESTMENT                                            MEOG


       Aramco’s asset strategy




       plots a complex path




        SAUDI ARABIA     NOW that Saudi Aramco has completed the  rate payments for crude transferred through the
                         lease-out and lease-back of a stake in its newly  extensive pipeline network.
                         formed oil pipelines subsidiary, attention has   However, while the UAE’s Mubadala Invest-
                         begun to turn to other options the state oil giant  ment Co. is believed to be joining the consor-
                         may have for raising cash to cover its dividend  tium, MEOG understands from sources close
                         obligations.                         to proceedings that prospective bidders Apollo
                           While Bloomberg last week quoted anony-  Global Management, BlackRock, Brookfield
                         mous sources as saying that Aramco could look  Asset Management and Global Infrastructure
                         to continue its asset monetisation strategy by  Partners (GIP) all declined to make final offers
                         bringing partners in for the development of oil  because of Aramco’s asking price.
                         and gas fields, such a move would be far more   Meanwhile, as MEOG recently reported, Ara-
                         complex and sensitive than the midstream one  mco could consider selling minority shares in
                         completed a week earlier.            mid- and downstream infrastructure including
                           The sources told Bloomberg that the com-  its terminals and refineries, with the company
                         pany was now carrying out a strategic review of  having already invested in four domestic refin-
                         its upstream business that could see it bring in  ing joint ventures (JVs) with foreign companies
                         outsiders to finance or develop less sensitive oil  as well as a handful of overseas facilities.
                         and gas fields.                        A subsequent Bloomberg report cited sources
                           Middle East Oil & Gas (MEOG) understands,  as saying that Aramco would continue to follow
                         however, that this is likely to be far more com-  in regional rival Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.
                         plicated than just Aramco choosing to bring  (ADNOC’s) footsteps by repeating the AOPC
                         in foreign help. Any such move would need  deal with a gas-focused version.
                         the express approval of the Ministry of Energy   Aramco’s Master Gas System network has a
                         (MoE), through which Aramco received its  total current capacity of 9.6bn cubic feet (272mn
                         concession to develop the Kingdom’s oil and gas  cubic metres) per day following an expansion in
                         reserves for an initial 40-year period (extendable  2017 and 2018.
                         by a further 80 years).                An additional expansion phase was due to be
                           As should be expect from the world’s largest  completed in 2019 taking total capacity to 12.5
                         oil exporter, control over production and even  bcf (354 mcm) per day through an additional
                         the related data is incredibly sensitive, and it is  1,600 km of pipelines to increase gas supplies to
                         a stretch to assume that any of the company’s  the Red Sea coast. However, articles on the Ara-
                         existing oilfields may be considered for external  mco website in October 2020 said that the “next
                         participation.                       phase” remained under construction, noting the
                           With that in mind and Aramco’s unconven-  addition of 821 km of new pipelines, just over
                         tionals division already operating as a separate  half the amount anticipated when it released its
                         sub-division of the upstream business, enlisting  2017 annual report. According to Aramco, “the
                         shale specialists from the US, for example, could  total length [of] pipeline in service, ready for   Pipelines of the Master
                         present an interesting prospect that ring-fences  commissioning, or decommissioned, is 3,850   Gas System.
                         the most valuable conventional assets. Mean-  km, and pipelines under construction total an
                         while, a gas-focused venture may hold appeal,  additional 1,075 km”.™    Source: Aramco
                         particularly with the Kingdom home to 9.4 tril-
                         lion cubic metres of gas reserves, the eighth-larg-
                         est in the world. Oil and condensate reserves
                         covered by Aramco’s concession are estimated
                         by the company at 198.8bn barrels.
                           Given this scale, there are unlikely to be many
                         E&P firms not interested in taking part, but even
                         with assets like Ghawar, Khurais, Safaniyah,
                         etc. strictly off-limits, Aramco’s insistence on
                         “pre-eminence” throughout its operations, the
                         price of participation in any such offering may
                         be prohibitive.
                           Earlier this month, the company successfully
                         closed a $12.4bn deal for a ‘consortium’ led by
                         EIG Global Partners to acquire a 49% stake in
                         Aramco Oil Pipelines Co. (AOPC) for a dura-
                         tion of 25 years. Under the deal, the Saudi firm
                         will be liable for all maintenance and for making



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