Page 9 - FSUOGM Week 47 2021
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FSUOGM                                       INVESTMENT                                            FSUOGM


       Yamal LNG to start issuing




       dividends this year




        RUSSIA           THE  Novatek-led Yamal LNG terminal is   “However, this would be the first returns
                         expected to pay its first ever dividend for the first  earned by the company on the equity invest-
      Yamal LNG was      nine months of this year, representing an impor-  ments made over the years by Novatek in the
      brought on stream   tant milestone for shareholders in the $27bn  $27bn project,” BCS GM said.
      under two years ago.  project.                            Moving forward, the project is expected to
                           Yamal LNG was brought online in Decem-  use half of available cash flow for loan repay-
                         ber 2019 and reached its three-train liquefac-  ments and half for dividends, Interfax reported.
                         tion capacity of nearly 17mn tonnes per year   The anticipated start of dividends comes
                         (tpy) in late 2018. But its shareholders, which  amid an unprecedented surge in global LNG
                         also includes France’s TotalEnergies and China’s  prices, as demand has rebounded following
                         CNPC and Silk Road Fund, are yet to reap any  the pandemic while supply has remained con-
                         rewards from the accelerated development.  strained. But Yamal LNG’s gain from the market
                           A meeting of shareholders will take place  situation was relatively modest, as the majority
                         on December 10 to discuss whether dividends  of its sales take place under oil-indexed con-
                         should be issued, Interfax reported last week.  tracts. What increase there was came as a result
                           Analysts at BCS Global Markets (BCS GM)  of recovering oil rather than gas prices.
                         noted that the RUB16bn ($210mn) that Novatek   Novatek is currently seeking external financ-
                         would earn in dividends for the first nine months  ing for its next liquefaction project, Arctic LNG-
                         of the year would not be the first time it has  2. That project is expected to benefit from higher
                         received money from the project. Yamal LNG  margins than Yamal LNG, as it is larger in scale
                         paid out some RUB113.5bn to the company in  and will make use of existing infrastructure
                         principal and interest on loans.     developed for the latter project. ™

                                                   PERFORMANCE


       European gas prices see further growth





        EUROPE           WHOLESALE gas prices in Europe rose for the  much gas-to-coal switching takes place on the
                         seventh day in a row on November 18, as a mul-  market.
       Germany's regulator has   titude of factors have made the market tighter.  Nord Stream 2’s certification will no longer
       halted the certification   The December gas delivery contract rose  be complete until April next year at the earliest,
       of Nord Stream 2.  from €70.1 per MWh on November 10 to €75.7/  and it could well drag on into the late summer,
                         MWh on November 12 and then €79.95/MWh  depending on how long the European Commis-
                         on November 15. It then soared to €94.2/MWh  sion takes to make its recommendation to Ger-
                         on November 16, and was trading at €95.4/MWh  many’s regulator.
                         as of 16:20 GMT on November 18.        “Delays in utilising Nord Stream 2 may
                           The sharp growth in recent days came after  have a lasting effect through the region’s 2021
                         Germany’s energy regulator announced it had  winter and beyond,” analysts at Rystad Energy
                         halted the certification process for the Nord  warned in a note on November 17. “Europe may
                         Stream 2 pipeline. It has said it will only resume  be forced to continue being dependent on an
                         the process once the pipeline’s Swiss-based oper-  already tight liquefied natural gas [LNG] mar-
                         ator has established a German subsidiary.  ket, which suggests an increased likelihood of a
                           The regulator’s announcement dashed expec-  sustained high price environment throughout
                         tations of any supply relief through the pipeline  much of next year’s first half if Europe emerges
                         arriving in Europe this winter. It follows a drop  with severely depleted storage.”
                         in temperatures in the northern hemisphere,   Russian flows to Europe through Ukraine
                         and data on November 17 showed that gas stor-  and Poland have increased only marginally
                         age levels in Europe were 2.5% lower than in  recently, despite Gazprom’s announcement that
                         the previous week. Another bullish factor has  it would be sending gas for storage in Europe ear-
                         been higher carbon prices, which may limit how  lier this month. ™








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