Page 6 - GLNG Week 45 2022
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG




       Russia-Ukraine conflict brings





       African gas into focus at COP27











        COMMENTARY       The geopolitical scene has changed dramatically  buyers have turned to other suppliers – includ-
                         over the last year, largely due to the disruptions  ing African suppliers. Italy’s Eni, for exam-
                         and realignments that have resulted from Rus-  ple, has sought to ramp up the volume of gas
                         sia’s invasion of Ukraine.           it imports from its existing sources in Algeria,
                           One of the attendees at the COP27 interna-  Egypt and Angola. It has also fast-tracked plans
                         tional climate conference in Sharm El Sheikh,  to launch an LNG export programme offshore
                         Egypt, marked the shift earlier this week by  the Republic of Congo and is working to keep
                         noting that even the premises of the ongoing  its Coral South LNG project on schedule off-
                         discussions about the coming energy transition  shore Mozambique. Germany’s government,
                         had changed. The talks are now taking demand  meanwhile, has pursued closer bilateral ties with
                         for natural gas and other fossil fuels into account  future gas-producing states such as Senegal and
                         rather than focusing narrowly on renewable  South Africa in the hope of securing fuel supplies
                         energy, he was quoted as saying by Devex.  and diversifying its own energy mix.
                           “Last year [at COP26], no one dared to [talk]
                         about fossil fuel or natural gas. The position  Benefits for Africa
                         has changed. Because there is a war in Europe,  Europe’s urgent need to diversify its gas supply
                         the [mood] has changed,” said Papa Samba Ba,  ahead of the rapidly approaching winter has
                         a technical advisor with Senegal’s Ministry of  had some benefits for Africa. It has attracted
                         Petroleum and Energies. He went on to say that  more investment to the African gas sector and
                         global energy policies should take the African  led international oil companies (IOCs) to push
                         continent’s needs into consideration rather than  forward with a number of upstream and LNG
                         focusing solely on the requirements of Western  projects that might otherwise have languished.
                         countries.                             So far, however, the benefits have accrued
                           It is perhaps no accident that the person who  mostly in relation to Africa’s position as a sup-
                         made this point is an African – and, for that mat-  plier of raw materials and commodities to other
                         ter, the citizen of an African country that is slated  regions of the world and not so much in rela-
                         to become a supplier of LNG to Europe once it  tion to Africa’s ability to meet its own demand
                         commences gas production. The country’s  for fuel. This has irked local stakeholders such
                         first commercial gas project, Greater Tortue/  as the African Energy Chamber (AEC), a trade
                         Ahmeyim (GTA), is slated to come on stream  association that has repeatedly urged the conti-
                         next year and will deliver most of its production  nent to use its own hydrocarbon resources as a
                         to European buyers in the form of LNG.  means of alleviating energy poverty. It has also
                                                              spurred debates between COP27 attendees and
                         European eyes on African gas         other observers over whether African countries
                         Senegal is hardly the only African country that  should maximise their use of gas, which has the
                         has been courted by European countries eager  lowest emissions intensity of any fossil fuel, as a
                         to find new suppliers to replace the Russian oil  bridge fuel on the path toward transition, or shun
                         and gas they have stopped receiving since the  gas in favour of solar, wind or other renewables.
                         outbreak of war in late February.      Former US Vice President Al Gore, for
                           Since that time, the EU has said it intends to  instance, urged Africa to reject offers to invest
                         work toward a complete ban on Russian crude oil  in its gas reserves, saying that this approach
                         and petroleum product imports, with some lim-  would have ruinous long-term consequences.
                         ited exceptions. It has not imposed limits of this  “We must see the so-called dash for gas for what
                         type on gas imports, but Russia can no longer be  it really is: a dash down a bridge to nowhere,
                         relied upon to deliver gas in the expected quan-  leaving the countries of the world facing climate
                         tities at the expected times. Instead, unexpected  chaos and billions in stranded assets, especially
                         interruptions and pipeline stoppages have  here in Africa,” he said during his opening
                         become commonplace.                  speech at COP27.
                           It is no wonder, then, that European gas   By contrast, Namibia’s Petroleum





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