Page 4 - AsiaElec Week 06 2021
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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




       India’s quest to meet rising





       energy demand






       India’s rapidly growing energy demand highlights the need for investment
       and supportive policies, the IEA finds, writes Richard Lockhart




        INDIA            THE IEA says India has the capability to meet  households and businesses, the report finds.
                         its Paris Agreement goals and satisfy energy   However, the transport and industrial sectors
       WHAT:             demand if it supports renewables and the energy  – areas such as road freight, steel and cement –
       India is set to see the   transition                   will prove far more challenging to develop in a
       largest increase in energy   India is forecast to show the world’s fastest  sustainable manner.
       demand of any country   growth in energy demand by 2040, testing the   More than that of any other major economy,
       over the next 20 years.  government’s ability to provide the energy pol-  India’s energy future depends on buildings and
                         icy and investment framework needed to drive  factories that are yet to be built, and vehicles and
       WHY:              forward economic growth.             appliances that are yet to be bought.
       A rising population means   For India, the main issue is to keep carbon   Based on India’s current policy settings,
       the government cannot   intensity to the minimum and to foster the  nearly 60% of its CO2 emissions in the late
       hold back economic   expansion of renewables, the IEA stated in a  2030s will be coming from infrastructure and
       growth by failing to   report published this week.     machines that do not exist today.
       provide good energy   This energy transformation will require   If India goes down this path, it would need
       policies          major advances in innovation, strong partner-  to address the critical challenge of the industrial
                         ships and vast amounts of capital.   sector through efforts such as more widespread
       WHAT NEXT:                                             electrification of processes, greater material and
       The IEA says India has   Investment                    energy efficiency, the use of technologies like
       the capability to meet   The IEA’s report says that India needs to find  carbon capture, and a switch to progressively
       its Paris Agreement   $1.4 trillion of additional investment in clean  lower-carbon fuels.
       goals and satisfy energy   energy technologies over the next 20 years, 70%   Electrification, efficiency and fuel switching
       demand if it supports   more that currently envisaged by the Indian  are also the main tools for the transport sector,
       renewables and the   government.                       alongside a determined move to build more
       energy transition   “India has made remarkable progress in  sustainable infrastructure and shift more freight
                         recent years, bringing electricity connection to  onto India’s soon-to-be-electrified railways.
                         hundreds of millions of people and impressively
                         scaling up the use of renewable energy, particu-  COVID-19
                         larly solar,” said Dr Fatih Birol, IEA Executive  The  report  warned that  the  coronavirus
                         Director. “What our new report makes clear is  (COVID-19) pandemic could damage India’s
                         the tremendous opportunity for India to suc-  chances of driving forward the energy transition.
                         cessfully meet the aspirations of its citizens   Prior to the pandemic,  India’s  energy
                         without following the high-carbon pathway that  demand had been projected to increase by
                         other economies have pursued in the past.”  almost 50% between 2019 and 2030, according
                           India’s energy use has doubled since 2000,  to IEA data, but COVID-19 has pushed this
                         with 80% of demand still being met by coal, oil  down to 25-35%.
                         and solid biomass.                     The latter would put some of India’s hard-
                           On a per capita basis, India’s energy use and  won gains in the fight against energy poverty
                         emissions are less than half the world’s average,  at risk, as lower-income households are forced
                         as are other key indicators such as vehicle own-  to fall back on more polluting and inefficient
                         ership, steel and cement output.     sources of energy.
                           India’s effort so far has concentrated on the   It would also extend the slump in energy
                         expansion of solar power, combined with smart  investment, which the IEA estimates to have
                         policy-making, to transform India’s electricity  slumped by 15% in India in 2020.
                         sector, enabling it to provide clean, afforda-  Even though the pandemic and its after-
                         ble and reliable power to a growing number of  math could temporarily suppress emissions, as








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