Page 7 - LatAmOil Week 09 2021
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LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         And if there cannot be enough renewable energy   projects in order to keep up with global demand.
                         to meet all demand, that brings fossil fuels back
                         into play, at least for a number of years to come.  Brighter outlook
                                                              The outlook is brighter for natural gas, which
                         Piece of the puzzle                  was touted by many as being a transition fuel
                         Some differences of opinion emerged at this   that has a potentially longer lifespan than oil.
                         year’s CERAWeek about what sort of future oil   Indeed, van Beurden said that Shell will con-
                         and gas will have in this context. Some, such as   tinue to invest in gas even as it moves away from
                         the CEOs of BP and Royal Dutch Shell, talked   oil, adding that he believed gas would outlive oil
                         up their efforts to move away from oil and gas.  for at least a decade.
                           “We’ve been an oil and gas company for 112   Others – particularly prominent LNG play-
                         years, and I think this is a moment where we   ers – echoed these expectations.
                         do have to reinvent the company,” BP’s CEO,   “When we look at LNG and natural gas, we
                         Bernard Looney, said. “We decided to really   think it’s a perfect complement to renewables,”
                         embrace that energy transition, more as a mas-  US LNG producer Cheniere Energy’s president
                         sive opportunity and not look at it as some sort   and CEO, Jack Fusco, said. “I think everybody
                         of threat to our core business.”     will agree that natural gas is a key component of
                           Shell’s CEO, Ben van Beurden, for his part,   a cleaner energy environment.”
                         said he believed his company’s oil output had   Chevron’s Wirth also said his company was
                         peaked in 2019 and that targeting customers   “bullish on natural gas” and saw LNG as having
                         seeking to reduce their own emissions presented   “a very important role in the lower-carbon econ-
                         a business opportunity.              omy that we’re all working toward”.
                           Others, meanwhile, put more emphasis on   And a number of other speakers expressed
                         the importance of oil and gas and the demand   similar sentiments.
                         they will continue to meet for some time.
                           “I think one of the key lessons [of the pan-  What next?
                         demic] here is the essential nature of our indus-  Some of these concepts, including that of gas
                         try,” said Chevron’s CEO, Mike Wirth. “We saw a   as a bridge fuel, are nothing new and have been
                         pandemic that created a global recession and an   discussed at CERAWeek and other conferences
                         enormous response in policy that created eco-  for some years. Other topics of discussion have
                         nomic slowdowns around the world. And yet,   evolved. Certainly, the issue of post-pandemic
                         as we went through one of the most significant   recovery and the changes that will come in the
                         shocks that we’ve seen to the global economy   wake of coronavirus (COVID-19) is a new area
                         in decades, demand destruction for oil and gas   of focus.
                         only averaged something like 9%, despite a crisis   Additionally, the dialogue appears to be
                         in which we were tested like never before. And   increasingly shifting from simply discussing
                         so, I think it demonstrates how important our   the importance of reducing emissions to dis-
                         industry is to the world economy.”   cussions of the practical steps involved and how
                           A number of company executives said they   challenges can be overcome. With more and
                         expected oil and gas demand to grow over the   more companies pursuing their own decarbon-
                         next decade.                         isation targets, there will be more to talk about in
                           “Hydrocarbons are still going to be essential   practical terms, based on their experience.
                         for providing energy to the world, especially in   And while some oil and gas companies will
                         the near term,” Baker Hughes’ CEO, Lorenzo   be resistant to the idea of decarbonisation,
                         Simonelli, said.                     the energy transition increasingly appears to
                           Indeed, the International Energy Agency   be unstoppable. As the CERAWeek speakers
                         (IEA) estimates that producers will need to   sought to point out, however, there are consid-
                         invest $500-600bn per year in new oil and gas   erable challenges ahead. ™




                                                        MEXICO
       Pemex reports profit in Q4-2020





                         MEXICO’S  national oil company (NOC)   -This represents an improvement on the
                         Pemex revealed last week that it had turned a   same period of 2019, when the NOC sustained
                         profit again in the final quarter of 2020, marking   a loss of MXP171.5bn ($8.19bn), and follows
                         its second consecutive quarterly gain.  another net profit in the third quarter, they said.
                           In a conference call with investors on Feb-  They also noted that Pemex’s earnings before
                         ruary 26, representatives of Pemex reported   interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisa-
                         that the state-owned company had earned a net   tion (EBITDA) had amounted to MXP20.2bn
                         profit of MXP123.2bn ($5.88bn) in the fourth   ($964mn) in the fourth quarter, down by 29%
                         quarter.                             year on year.



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