Page 15 - EurOil Week 47 2022
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EurOil                                                                                                EurOil


       the oil price cap to new sanctions. They argue   In October, the EC also said that Lukoil   production.
       that the ninth sanctions package is not ready   cannot export petroleum products produced   Local production accounts for around
       yet and including measures, such as oil price   from Russian oil from Bulgaria. However, the   one-third of MOL Group’s upstream portfolio
       caps, would make the negotiations more   caretaker government claimed the position of   at present.
       difficult.                           the EC was misinterpreted by local media.  The company has spent HUF133bn
         The ninth EU sanctions package is    The government in Sofia insists that the   (€324mn) in the last five years to look for new
       expected to focus on individual listings,   fuels were produced outside Russia therefore   exploration sites to keep production at current
       hitting Russian officials, propagandists,   they are not under sanctions.  levels and plans to plough close to HUF 200bn
       executives, and other figures, two EU officials   Lukoil Neftohim Bulgaria joined the Lukoil  into upstream investment in Hungary in the
       told Politico, reports LRT.lt, the website of   group in 1999. It is the largest oil refinery   coming five years. Between 60% and 65%
       Lithuanian public broadcaster LRT.   in the Balkans and it was built so that it can   will go toward gas and 20-25% toward crude
                                            only refine Russian oil. However, the former   production.
                                            government led by Kiril Petkov said the   MOL raided its Ebitda guidance to of
       Bulgaria accepts Lukoil’s offer      refinery could adjust its equipment to produce   €4.1bn-4.4bn after posting Ebitda of €953mn
                                                                                in Q3 and €3.6bn in Q1-Q3.
                                            fuels from oil imported from other countries.
       for tax in exchange for EU           was criticised by pro-Western analysts and
                                              The government’s agreement with Lukoil
       Bulgaria’s caretaker government has accepted   politicians, who have accused President   Turkey to ‘start work in new
       an offer from Lukoil Neftochim Bulgaria to   Rumen Radev of acting as a “foreign trade
       start paying taxes to the country as of January   bureau for Russian President Vladimir Putin”.   year’ on Moscow’s gas hub
       2023 if Sofia agrees to sell its products on   In Bulgaria, the president appoints caretaker
       the EU market, the government said in a   governments.                   proposal
       statement.                             Since the start of the Russian war in
         The offer from the Russia-owned refinery   Ukraine, Radev has been positioning himself   Turkey expects to start working on the
       is highly controversial as it could breach the   as increasingly pro-Russian. The caretaker   creation of a gas hub corresponding to a
       EU sanctions regime.                 government which took office in the   proposal from Moscow at the beginning of
         The intermediary company in the oil trade   beginning of August, seems to have the same   2023, Turkish Energy and Natural Resources
       for Bulgaria is the Swiss-registered company   political and economic aspirations and is   Minister Fatih Donmez told NTV on
       Litasco, which is a majority shareholder in   trying hard to return Bulgaria back to Russian   November 18.
       Lukoil Neftochim Bulgaria. It buys crude oil   political and energy orbit.  “We plan to define the roadmap until the
       from Russia’s Lukoil and sells it to the refinery                        end of the year. And to start works under the
       in Bulgaria. In this way, the payment of taxes                           project from the beginning of 2023, “ Donmez
       in Bulgaria is avoided and Russia retains most   MOL makes oil discovery on   said, according to Prime news agency.
       of the profit.                                                             The minister said that Turkey is in
         According to the agreement between the   outskirts of Budapest         negotiations with several potential gas
       government and Lukoil Neftochim Bulgaria,                                suppliers. Apart from Russia, Azerbaijan and
       the refinery can sell its products in the EU   Hungarian oil and gas company MOL   Turkmenistan have been mentioned on the
       until the end of 2024 as long as it starts paying   announced the discovery of a “significant   market as potential suppliers of gas to the hub.
       profit taxes in Bulgaria.            amount” of crude oil on the outskirts of the   Russian President Vladimir Putin and
         “We have achieved a very important step   capital.                     Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan
       – from January 1, 2023, Lukoil will transfer   MOL made the discovery at a depth   have ordered their officials to work on the
       all production, revenues, and taxes to be   of 2,100m on the edge of Vecses during   creation of a gas hub in Turkey swiftly and in
       paid in Bulgaria, and not, as it was before, in   exploratory drilling that started in July.   detail.
       the Netherlands or Switzerland,” Bulgaria’s   Production at the new well is starting at 600   Erdogan and Putin envisage the hub
       caretaker Deputy Prime Minister Hristo   barrels a day, but is expected to rise to 700-  providing gas to Europe, at least partly taking
       Alexiev said as quoted in the statement.  1,000 later.                   on capacities that were once earmarked for
         He added that the agreement, along   The discovery could boost Mol     the now apparently abandoned Nord Stream
       with the 33% additional tax on excessive   Magyarorszag’s hydrocarbon production by   pipelines running to Germany. However,
       profits, would bring a significant revenue to   around 10% and total crude production in   to achieve that they might have to work
       the Bulgarian budget, estimated at around   Hungary by 5%.               on achieving some European disunity—in
       €350mn for 2023. Alexiev also said the funds   The well, MOL’s third-biggest in Hungary,   response to Russia’s war in Ukraine and
       would be used to support vulnerable groups.  is capable of offsetting the decline in   politicising of its gas supply to Europe, the
         However, in order to secure that, Lukoil   production at the company’s field in Algyo   EU is working on entirely moving away from
       Neftochim would need Russian oil, Alexiev   southeast Hungary.           reliance on Russian gas such as by bringing in
       also said. Bulgaria was allowed in June to keep   Crude from the well, which started   American, Middle Eastern and other liquefied
       buying oil from Russia for two years so that it   producing on November 11, is being shipped   natural gas (LNG) to gasification terminals
       can get enough time for the Lukoil Neftochim   directly to MOL’s main Danube Refinery,   that are being built in Germany and other
       refinery to adjust its equipment to produce   south of the capital.      countries.
       fuels from liquified natural gas. But the EC   MOL chairman-CEO Zsolt Hernadi said   Donmez in early November told TRT
       has repeatedly pointed out that this oil can   “every drop” of crude exploited in Hungary   Haber that Ankara might hold a gas hub
       only be used within the country and not sold   contributes to reducing the country’s energy   project conference for gas suppliers and
       in the EU.                           dependence. He added that MOL plans   buyers.
         On November 22, Radio Free Europe   further drilling in the field.       Putin has said gas prices could be set at the
       quoted an EU spokesperson as saying that the   MOL produced 3.5mn barrels of crude   hub rather than in Russia and that he believes
       deal would breach the EU sanctions as fuels   in Hungary last year, about half of the total   some European countries could be persuaded
       produced by Lukoil with oil imported from   exploited in the country. It also produced 1.4   to sign contracts.
       Russia cannot be sold outside Bulgaria.  bcm of gas, around 90% of total domestic



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