Page 10 - GLNG Week 42 2022
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GLNG                                              EUROPE                                               GLNG


      European gas prices





      continue to fall amid warm





      weather and ample LNG






        MARKETS          THE front-month contract at the Dutch TTF gas   The recent steady decline comes as the Euro-
                         hub dipped to close to €113 per MWh ($1,200  pean Commission puts off coming up with a
                         per 1,000 cubic metres) on October 18, repre-  concrete proposal for a wholesale gas price cap,
                         senting its lowest level since June, as a result of  amid continuing disagreement among EU mem-
                         warmer than usual weather, and ample LNG  ber states about what form the cap should take.
                         supply.                              The Commission said on October 18 it would
                            Russian gas supply dropped to an all-time low  ask EU countries for their approval to draft plans
                         of 2.3bn cubic metres per month in September  for a temporary “maximum dynamic price” on
                         and is at risk of falling further if transit is dis-  transactions at TTF. But it will only consider this
                         puted through Ukraine over a payment dispute.  as a “last-resort measure,” and only if that price
                         So far, however, this has been offset by reduced  limit meets certain conditions. The cap has been
                         demand and increased LNG supply.     under debate in Europe now for months.
                            European gas prices have fallen substantially   Gas futures prices are significantly more bull-
                         since spiking in late August to an all-time record,  ish beyond November, however. The December,
                         as LNG supply remains buoyant while EU gas  January, February and Q1 2023 contracts are all
                         storage facilities have now been filled to close to  trading at €140-150 per MWh, signalling the
                         93% capacity. The November contract at TTF  market’s concern that supply will be scarce if it
                         had spiked at €350 per MWh on August 26, after  proves to be a cold winter and if there are supply
                         it was announced that the Nord Stream 1 pipe-  disruptions.™
                         line would be taken offline.













































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