Page 6 - DMEA Week 50 2020
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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




       Kurdish unrest





       impacts oil sector as





       Erbil seeks solution






       Protests about unpaid public sector salaries have
       boiled over and are hitting Erbil where it hurts: oil


        KURDISTAN        CIVIL unrest in the Kurdistan Region of north-  not kept to its side of the bargain, it has long
                         ern Iraq that began at the start of the month  complained that the KRG has failed to hand
       WHAT:             has boiled over, leading to widespread violence  crude over to SOMO. Last month though, the
       The KRG is stuck in limbo   that has in recent days spread to the oil and gas  Iraqi parliament approved the fiscal deficit
       unable to pay public   industry.                       coverage bill which stipulates that the KRG
       servants and otherwise   Protests have been commonplace in Iraq  must now provide SOMO with “unspecified
       unable to quell growing   in recent years, focusing on issues including  amounts of oil”, a policy that had been rejected
       public discontent.  overdue reform and poor electricity connec-  by Kurdish MPs.
                         tivity. However, the overarching issue in both   Meanwhile, the protestors are demanding the
       WHY:              Federal Iraq and the Kurdish north is the unre-  resignation of the regional administration amid
       Public sector workers   liable payment of civil service salaries. Workers  claims that the political system has been ‘bro-
       have not received their   in Kurdistan have been regularly left without  ken’ by the Barzani and Talabani families who
       full salaries since April,   pay following seemingly never-ending budget  respectively control the Kurdistan Democratic
       and Erbil has been forced   disputes between Erbil and Baghdad, the years-  Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurd-
       to agree to new terms   long struggle to counter the spread of Islamic  istan (PUK), effectively the only two horses in
       with Baghdad in order to   State (IS), oil price volatility and the coronavirus  the race.
       receive its share of the   (COVID-19) pandemic.          In May 2019, the KDP’s Nechirvan Barzani
       Iraqi budget.       Middle East Oil & Gas (MEOG) understands  won 68 votes from the 81 members present in
                         from local sources that public sector employees  the 111-seat chamber, with the PUK and New
       WHAT NEXT:        have not been paid in full since April.  Generation Movement having boycotted the
       Oil exports have already   The protests, which started in Sulaymaniyah,  election and the two Islamic parties Komal and
       begun to suffer, with   have largely been limited to the south-east of the  KIU abstaining.
       Gazprom Neft electing to   country, with the regional government banning
       halt shipments from its   demonstrations and all travel between cities  Oil dependence
       Sarqala field, and this   in the area, imposing a curfew and cutting off   With oil accounting for more than 90% of the
       serves to exacerbate the   access to the internet.     Federal Iraqi budget, the confluence of the pan-
       strain felt in Erbil.  Speaking to Deutsche Welle, Sulaymaniyah  demic and low oil prices has served to exacerbate
                         journalist Zanko Ahmad said: “Most of those  the situation yet further.
                         on the street are younger … Many are not even   Kurdistan is by extension nearly completely
                         state employees. At the last election, the young  reliant on oil and gas for government spending.
                         people were expressing their anger through the  Apparently growing in desperation to resolve
                         ballot box. But now there are no effective opposi-  the unrest, the KRG’s Minister of Finance Awat
                         tion parties. So they’re expressing their anger by  Sheikh Janab last week announced that Erbil
                         burning the headquarters of political parties and  would now agree to hand over the unspecified
                         even the homes of officials.”        crude volumes to Baghdad so as to receive its
                           The Kurdistan Regional Government  share of the budget.
                         (KRG) maintains that the root cause of the   Speaking to reporters in Erbil, he said: “Our
                         non-payment is Baghdad’s decision to with-  ministry received a letter from the Federal Min-
                         hold payment of Erbil’s 12.67% share of the  istry of Finance regarding the fiscal deficit bill
                         Iraqi budget. Until November 12, payment of  and we replied that we are ready to abide by the
                         the budget was dependent on the KRG export-  [new] bill … from now it is up to the federal gov-
                         ing 250,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude  ernment and Kurdish representatives in Bagh-
                         through the Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organi-  dad to do their job.”
                         zation (SOMO) and giving the revenues to the   In addition to the revised terms pertaining
                         central treasury. However, while Baghdad has  to the KRG’s share of the budget, the bill also



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 50   17•December•2020
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