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AfrElec                                      COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




















































                         compared with 2.76 tpy per person for the bot-  extreme events.
                         tom 90% of humanity, and the NGO found that   The report follows on previous research by
                         an average of 14% of their investments were in  Oxford Economics, which found that reaching
                         polluting industries such as energy and cement.  net zero by 2050 and facilitating the green transi-
                           More than half of the 50 largest sources of  tion would create economic opportunities worth
                         GHG emissions are associated with oil and nat-  $10.3 trillion by 2050, in 2020 prices, equivalent
                         ural gas fields, and those emissions are vastly  to 5.2% of global GDP in that year.
                         under-reported, Oxfam said.            The picture put forward by Oxford Econom-
                                                              ics is apocalyptic, and can only be avoided if gov-
                         Research                             ernments and corporations push green issues to
                         In its report, Oxford Economics went beyond  the top of their investment agendas and do not
                         average historical temperature to provide a  allow the issues to slide.
                         deeper assessment of climate change to show   Just this week, the EU finally approved its
                         how temperature anomalies from historical  proposed CBAM scheme, which is effectively
                         norms may be more consequential economically  the world’s first carbon border tax.
                         than average temperature levels. This means   CBAM is designed to protect against “carbon
                         that the when temperatures differ the most from  leakage” – the risk that EU companies could
                         their underlying historic averages, the economy  move carbon-intensive production abroad to
                         is more vulnerable to collapse than when average  countries where less stringent climate policies
                         temperatures are rising across the board.  are in place, or when EU products are replaced
                           This means that current warming of the  by more carbon-intensive products.
                         earth’s atmosphere will have a greater impact on   This is one of the many financing loopholes
                         people’s jobs, incomes and economic well-being  that must be closed to meet green targets. The
                         than previously thought.             CBAM follows G7 plans to establish a “climate
                           It identified a climate damage function that  club” to strengthen international co-operation
                         separates economic impacts into two categories:  on climate change mitigation. The “climate club”
                         global-warming effects due to temperatures  aims to support increasingly ambitious plans to
                         trending away from their long-run means; and  achieve global net-zero GHG emissions by or
                         broader climate change attributed to changes  around 2050.-™
                         in temperature volatility and the likelihood of



       Week 50  14•December•2022                www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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