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CHAPTER ELEVEN










                      Case Study: The Kansas City Experiments





                                                           1.



                     A century ago, a legendary figure in American law enforcement named O. W. Wilson
                                                              1
                     came up with the idea of “preventive patrol.”  Wilson believed that having police cars
                     in constant, unpredictable motion throughout a city’s streets would deter crime. Any
                     would-be criminal would always have to wonder if a police car was just around the
                     corner.

                        But think about it. When you walk down the street of your neighborhood, do you
                     feel like the police are just around the corner? Cities are vast, sprawling places. It’s not
                     obvious that a police force—even a large police force—could ever create the feeling
                     that they were everywhere.
                        This was the question facing the Kansas City Police Department in the early 1970s.
                     The department was about to hire extra police officers, but it was divided over how to
                     deploy  them.  Should  they  follow  Wilson’s  advice—and  have  them  drive  randomly
                     around  the  city?  Or  assign  them  to  specific  locations—such  as  schools  or  difficult
                     neighborhoods? To resolve the question, the city hired a criminologist named George
                     Kelling.
                        “One  group  said  riding  around  in  cars  doesn’t  improve  anything,  it  doesn’t  do
                     anything,” Kelling remembers. “Another group said it’s absolutely essential. That was
                     the standoff. Then I was brought in.”

                        Kelling’s  idea  was  to  select  fifteen  beats  from  the  southern  part  of  the  city  and
                     divide  them  into  three  groups.  It  was  a  big  area:  thirty-two  square  miles,  150,000
                     people, good neighborhoods and bad neighborhoods, and even a little farmland on the
                     fringes.  One  of  the  three  groups  would  be  the  control  group.  Police  work  would
                     continue there as it always had. In the second neighborhood, Kelling would have no
                     preventive patrol at all; police officers would respond only when called. In the third
                     neighborhood, he would double and in some cases triple the number of squad cars on
                     the streets.
                        “Nothing like this had ever been done in policing,” Kelling remembers. “This was
                     1970.  Nothing  had  been  written  about  police  tactics.…This  was  at  a  very  primitive
                     stage in policing.” People like O. W. Wilson had ideas and hunches. But police work
                     was considered an art, not a science that could be evaluated like a new drug. Kelling
                     says  that  many  people  told  him  his  experiment  would  fail,  “that  the  police  simply
                     weren’t ready for research. I wouldn’t be able to do it. They’d sabotage it.” But Kelling
                     had the backing of the city’s police chief. The chief had spent the bulk of his career in
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