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                                   Source: The Unexpected                41

                 Far more often, the unexpected success is simply not seen at all.
              Nobody pays any attention to it. Hence, nobody exploits it, with the
              inevitable  result  that  the  competitor  runs  with  it  and  reaps  the
              rewards.
                 A leading hospital supplier introduced a new line of instruments
              for biological and clinical tests. The new products were doing quite
              well. Then, suddenly, orders came in from industrial and university
              laboratories.  Nobody  was  told  about  them,  nobody  noticed  them;
              nobody realized that, by pure accident, the company had developed
              products  with  more  and  better  customers  outside  the  market  for
              which those products had been developed. No salesman was being
              sent out to call on these new customers, no service force was being
              set up. Five or eight years later, another company had taken over these
              new markets. And because of the volume of business these markets
              produced, the newcomer could soon invade the hospital market offer-
              ing lower prices and better services than the original market leader.
                 One reason for this blindness to the unexpected success is that our
              existing reporting systems do not as a rule report it, let alone clamor
              for management’s attention.
                 Practically  every  company—but  every  public-service  institution
              as well—has a monthly or quarterly report. The first sheet lists the
              areas in which performance is below expectations: it lists the prob-
              lems and the shortfalls. At the monthly meetings of the management
              group and the board of directors, everybody therefore focuses on the
              problem areas. No one even looks at the areas where the company has
              done better than expected. And if the unexpected success is not quan-
              titative  but  qualitative—as  in  the  case  of  the  hospital  instruments
              mentioned above, which opened up new major markets outside the
              company’s traditional ones—the figures will not even show the unex-
              pected success as a rule.
                 To  exploit  the  opportunity  for  innovation  offered  by  unex-
              pected success requires analysis. Unexpected success is a symp-
              tom. But a symptom of what? The underlying phenomenon may
              be nothing more than a limitation on our own vision, knowledge,
              and  understanding.  That  the  pharmaceutical  companies,  for
              instance, rejected the unexpected success of their new drugs in
              the animal market was a symptom of their own failure to know
              how big—and how important—livestock raising throughout the
              world is; of their blindness to the sharp increase in demand for
              animal  proteins  throughout  the  world  after  World  War  II,
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